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icon for Quel film a le plus grand week-end d'ouverture en 2026 ?

Quel film a le plus grand week-end d'ouverture en 2026 ?

icon for Quel film a le plus grand week-end d'ouverture en 2026 ?

Quel film a le plus grand week-end d'ouverture en 2026 ?

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2ème plus

3ème plus

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2ème plus

3ème plus

Avengers : Doomsday 50%

Spider-Man : Un jour nouveau 49%

Hunger Games : L'Aube de la Moisson <1%

Dune : Messiah <1%

Polymarket

$2,247,560 Vol.

Avengers : Doomsday 50%

Spider-Man : Un jour nouveau 49%

Hunger Games : L'Aube de la Moisson <1%

Dune : Messiah <1%

Polymarket

$2,247,560 Vol.

Avengers : Doomsday

$386,021 Vol.

50%

Spider-Man : Un jour nouveau

$216,945 Vol.

49%

Hunger Games : L'Aube de la Moisson

$74,839 Vol.

<1%

Dune : Messiah

$168,185 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Two MCU tentpoles dominate trader sentiment for 2026’s biggest domestic opening weekend, with Avengers: Doomsday and Spider-Man: Brand New Day locked in a virtual tie at roughly 49% implied probability each.** Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s July 31 release already delivered one of the largest openings in history, fueled by Tom Holland’s star power, strong reviews, and record social-media reach that propelled it past multiple franchise benchmarks. Avengers: Doomsday counters with exceptional advance sales exceeding $50 million months out, driven by Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers’ involvement, and broad multiverse hype, even without IMAX screens on opening weekend due to Dune: Part Three’s exclusive hold. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November) and Dune: Messiah (December) remain long shots given narrower historical precedents for their franchises. The December showdown between Doomsday’s event scale and any late momentum shifts will ultimately decide the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,247,560
Date de fin
1 févr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Two MCU tentpoles dominate trader sentiment for 2026’s biggest domestic opening weekend, with Avengers: Doomsday and Spider-Man: Brand New Day locked in a virtual tie at roughly 49% implied probability each.** Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s July 31 release already delivered one of the largest openings in history, fueled by Tom Holland’s star power, strong reviews, and record social-media reach that propelled it past multiple franchise benchmarks. Avengers: Doomsday counters with exceptional advance sales exceeding $50 million months out, driven by Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom, the Russo brothers’ involvement, and broad multiverse hype, even without IMAX screens on opening weekend due to Dune: Part Three’s exclusive hold. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping (November) and Dune: Messiah (December) remain long shots given narrower historical precedents for their franchises. The December showdown between Doomsday’s event scale and any late momentum shifts will ultimately decide the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,247,560
Date de fin
1 févr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

95%
icon for Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

56%
icon for Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

58%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Quel film a le plus grand week-end d'ouverture en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Avengers : Doomsday » à 50%, suivi de « Spider-Man : Un jour nouveau » à 49%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 50¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quel film a le plus grand week-end d'ouverture en 2026 ? » a généré $2.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 12, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quel film a le plus grand week-end d'ouverture en 2026 ? », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quel film a le plus grand week-end d'ouverture en 2026 ? » est « Avengers : Doomsday » à 50%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Spider-Man : Un jour nouveau » à 49%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quel film a le plus grand week-end d'ouverture en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.