Julianne Moore leads the 2027 Best Actress market at 64.5% implied probability, driven by early industry consensus around her starring role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 musical dramedy *The Debut*, slated for a December 2026 release that positions it well for awards season. As a previous Oscar winner with multiple nominations, Moore benefits from established Academy goodwill and positive predictor chatter from outlets tracking guild and critics’ circles. The field remains wide open, with Inde Navarrette at 15% on *Obsession* momentum and lower-priced contenders like Sandra Hüller and Renate Reinsve tied to announced projects. Traders are watching fall festivals, including TIFF, for review scores and buzz that could shift precursor trajectories before nominations voting begins in January 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOscars 2027 : Meilleure actrice
Julianne Moore 65%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Sandra Hüller 4.4%
Renate Reinsve 2.8%
$144,651 Vol.
$144,651 Vol.

Julianne Moore
65%

Inde Navarrette
15%

Sandra Hüller
4%

Renate Reinsve
3%

Virginie Efira
2%

Ruth Madeley
1%

Scarlett Johansson
1%

Rachel Brosnahan
1%

Michelle Williams
<1%

Sophie Okonedo
<1%

Léa Seydoux
<1%
Julianne Moore 65%
Inde Navarrette 15%
Sandra Hüller 4.4%
Renate Reinsve 2.8%
$144,651 Vol.
$144,651 Vol.

Julianne Moore
65%

Inde Navarrette
15%

Sandra Hüller
4%

Renate Reinsve
3%

Virginie Efira
2%

Ruth Madeley
1%

Scarlett Johansson
1%

Rachel Brosnahan
1%

Michelle Williams
<1%

Sophie Okonedo
<1%

Léa Seydoux
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore leads the 2027 Best Actress market at 64.5% implied probability, driven by early industry consensus around her starring role in Jesse Eisenberg’s A24 musical dramedy *The Debut*, slated for a December 2026 release that positions it well for awards season. As a previous Oscar winner with multiple nominations, Moore benefits from established Academy goodwill and positive predictor chatter from outlets tracking guild and critics’ circles. The field remains wide open, with Inde Navarrette at 15% on *Obsession* momentum and lower-priced contenders like Sandra Hüller and Renate Reinsve tied to announced projects. Traders are watching fall festivals, including TIFF, for review scores and buzz that could shift precursor trajectories before nominations voting begins in January 2027.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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