Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 57.5% implied probability due to its record $50 million in domestic presales 100 days before the December 18 release, early tracking for a $260–300 million opening weekend, and MCU crossover appeal featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four elements. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 38.5% after its July 31 launch delivered the biggest opening weekend in history at $360 million, though its momentum has cooled against holiday competition and the market's focus on Doomsday's event scale. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register at just 0.1% each, reflecting limited presale data and lower franchise expectations for record openings despite November and December dates. Key catalysts ahead include Doomsday's final marketing push and any late tracking updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 57%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 39%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$167,977 Vol.
$167,977 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
57%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
39%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 57%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 39%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$167,977 Vol.
$167,977 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$73,120 Vol.
57%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$61,921 Vol.
39%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 57.5% implied probability due to its record $50 million in domestic presales 100 days before the December 18 release, early tracking for a $260–300 million opening weekend, and MCU crossover appeal featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four elements. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 38.5% after its July 31 launch delivered the biggest opening weekend in history at $360 million, though its momentum has cooled against holiday competition and the market's focus on Doomsday's event scale. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register at just 0.1% each, reflecting limited presale data and lower franchise expectations for record openings despite November and December dates. Key catalysts ahead include Doomsday's final marketing push and any late tracking updates.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$167,977Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 57.5% implied probability due to its record $50 million in domestic presales 100 days before the December 18 release, early tracking for a $260–300 million opening weekend, and MCU crossover appeal featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four elements. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 38.5% after its July 31 launch delivered the biggest opening weekend in history at $360 million, though its momentum has cooled against holiday competition and the market's focus on Doomsday's event scale. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register at just 0.1% each, reflecting limited presale data and lower franchise expectations for record openings despite November and December dates. Key catalysts ahead include Doomsday's final marketing push and any late tracking updates.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$167,977Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 57.5% implied probability due to its record $50 million in domestic presales 100 days before the December 18 release, early tracking for a $260–300 million opening weekend, and MCU crossover appeal featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom alongside X-Men and Fantastic Four elements. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 38.5% after its July 31 launch delivered the biggest opening weekend in history at $360 million, though its momentum has cooled against holiday competition and the market's focus on Doomsday's event scale. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register at just 0.1% each, reflecting limited presale data and lower franchise expectations for record openings despite November and December dates. Key catalysts ahead include Doomsday's final marketing push and any late tracking updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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