Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Cape Town are driving trader expectations for a mild minimum temperature on September 7, with forecast models from sources like the South African Weather Service and international ensembles showing overnight lows in the 15–17°C range amid light southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations confirm above-average temperatures for early September, with no approaching cold fronts or significant cooling expected before the market resolves. This setup supports the leading market-implied probabilities clustered around 13–19°C, while the low odds on extremes below 11°C or above 19°C reflect limited variability in current guidance. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will determine final resolution amid typical seasonal uncertainty in coastal temperatures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse au Cap le 7 septembre ?
La température la plus basse au Cap le 7 septembre ?
19°C ou plus 83%
11°C 49%
15°C 49%
18°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
13%
10°C
9%
11°C
49%
12°C
28%
13°C
31%
14°C
31%
15°C
49%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
49%
19°C ou plus
83%
19°C ou plus 83%
11°C 49%
15°C 49%
18°C 49%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
13%
10°C
$0 Vol.
9%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
31%
14°C
$0 Vol.
31%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Cape Town are driving trader expectations for a mild minimum temperature on September 7, with forecast models from sources like the South African Weather Service and international ensembles showing overnight lows in the 15–17°C range amid light southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations confirm above-average temperatures for early September, with no approaching cold fronts or significant cooling expected before the market resolves. This setup supports the leading market-implied probabilities clustered around 13–19°C, while the low odds on extremes below 11°C or above 19°C reflect limited variability in current guidance. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will determine final resolution amid typical seasonal uncertainty in coastal temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Cape Town are driving trader expectations for a mild minimum temperature on September 7, with forecast models from sources like the South African Weather Service and international ensembles showing overnight lows in the 15–17°C range amid light southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations confirm above-average temperatures for early September, with no approaching cold fronts or significant cooling expected before the market resolves. This setup supports the leading market-implied probabilities clustered around 13–19°C, while the low odds on extremes below 11°C or above 19°C reflect limited variability in current guidance. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will determine final resolution amid typical seasonal uncertainty in coastal temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Cape Town are driving trader expectations for a mild minimum temperature on September 7, with forecast models from sources like the South African Weather Service and international ensembles showing overnight lows in the 15–17°C range amid light southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations confirm above-average temperatures for early September, with no approaching cold fronts or significant cooling expected before the market resolves. This setup supports the leading market-implied probabilities clustered around 13–19°C, while the low odds on extremes below 11°C or above 19°C reflect limited variability in current guidance. Updated model runs and official minimum readings will determine final resolution amid typical seasonal uncertainty in coastal temperatures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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