**Forecast consensus from multiple models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a maximum of 12–13 °C in Buenos Aires on September 5, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those exact outcomes.** A cooler air mass advected by southerly winds has lowered temperatures after recent mild conditions, with clear to partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating while promoting nocturnal radiative cooling. This early-spring pattern sits well below the month’s climatological average high near 19 °C, reflecting the influence of a transient high-pressure system and modest wind speeds that suppress mixing. Official guidance shows tight agreement across runs with little spread in projected maxima, and traders appear to be weighting the latest SMN and global model outputs heavily. The market will resolve on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary observing station, with only minor upside risk if unexpected warming occurs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 5 septembre ?
13°C 46%
14°C 33%
12°C 14%
15°C 8%
7°C ou moins
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
14%
13°C
46%
14°C
33%
15°C
8%
16°C
2%
17°C ou plus
2%
13°C 46%
14°C 33%
12°C 14%
15°C 8%
7°C ou moins
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
14%
13°C
46%
14°C
33%
15°C
8%
16°C
2%
17°C ou plus
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to a maximum of 12–13 °C in Buenos Aires on September 5, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those exact outcomes.** A cooler air mass advected by southerly winds has lowered temperatures after recent mild conditions, with clear to partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating while promoting nocturnal radiative cooling. This early-spring pattern sits well below the month’s climatological average high near 19 °C, reflecting the influence of a transient high-pressure system and modest wind speeds that suppress mixing. Official guidance shows tight agreement across runs with little spread in projected maxima, and traders appear to be weighting the latest SMN and global model outputs heavily. The market will resolve on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary observing station, with only minor upside risk if unexpected warming occurs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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