**The approach of tropical cyclone Sadell and northeasterly monsoon flow is the dominant driver capping Hong Kong temperatures on September 4, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting a 25–29°C range amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort.** These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting vertical mixing, keeping daily maxima clustered near 28–29°C according to recent model runs. Trader emphasis on the 28°C and 29°C outcomes reflects this narrow band, where small differences in shower timing, wind persistence, or brief clearing could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical early-September baselines under similar disturbed regimes rarely exceed 30°C, reinforcing the low probabilities assigned to higher thresholds. Updated HKO briefings and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 4 septembre ?
28°C 31%
29°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 11%
NOUVEAU
$11,075 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,075 Vol.
4 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
11%
28°C
31%
29°C
30%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C ou plus
1%
28°C 31%
29°C 30%
30°C 15%
27°C 11%
NOUVEAU
$11,075 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,075 Vol.
4 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
$9,795 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$243 Vol.
5%
27°C
$86 Vol.
11%
28°C
$195 Vol.
31%
29°C
$210 Vol.
30%
30°C
$191 Vol.
15%
31°C
$61 Vol.
5%
32°C
$71 Vol.
2%
33°C ou plus
$80 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The approach of tropical cyclone Sadell and northeasterly monsoon flow is the dominant driver capping Hong Kong temperatures on September 4, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting a 25–29°C range amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort.** These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting vertical mixing, keeping daily maxima clustered near 28–29°C according to recent model runs. Trader emphasis on the 28°C and 29°C outcomes reflects this narrow band, where small differences in shower timing, wind persistence, or brief clearing could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical early-September baselines under similar disturbed regimes rarely exceed 30°C, reinforcing the low probabilities assigned to higher thresholds. Updated HKO briefings and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,075Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**The approach of tropical cyclone Sadell and northeasterly monsoon flow is the dominant driver capping Hong Kong temperatures on September 4, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting a 25–29°C range amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort.** These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting vertical mixing, keeping daily maxima clustered near 28–29°C according to recent model runs. Trader emphasis on the 28°C and 29°C outcomes reflects this narrow band, where small differences in shower timing, wind persistence, or brief clearing could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical early-September baselines under similar disturbed regimes rarely exceed 30°C, reinforcing the low probabilities assigned to higher thresholds. Updated HKO briefings and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,075Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**The approach of tropical cyclone Sadell and northeasterly monsoon flow is the dominant driver capping Hong Kong temperatures on September 4, with official Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasting a 25–29°C range amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort.** These conditions limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting vertical mixing, keeping daily maxima clustered near 28–29°C according to recent model runs. Trader emphasis on the 28°C and 29°C outcomes reflects this narrow band, where small differences in shower timing, wind persistence, or brief clearing could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical early-September baselines under similar disturbed regimes rarely exceed 30°C, reinforcing the low probabilities assigned to higher thresholds. Updated HKO briefings and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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