Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a cooling trend in Moscow driven by a shift from anticyclonic influence to increased southwesterly flow and cloud cover, positioning the September 2 daytime maximum near 20–22°C. This places market-implied odds for bins from 18°C to 22°C in close equilibrium as traders weigh variables including persistent variable cloudiness that reduces solar insolation, brief showers limiting surface heating, and moderate winds around 5–6 m/s that enhance mixing. Historical September averages hover near 18°C, but current ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in precipitation timing and exact frontal passage. Updated model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Moscou le 2 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Moscou le 2 septembre ?
21°C 27%
20°C 26%
22°C 25%
18°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
15°C or below
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
3%
18°C
19%
19°C
12%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
25%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
5%
21°C 27%
20°C 26%
22°C 25%
18°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
15°C or below
$5 Vol.
5%
16°C
$5 Vol.
5%
17°C
$3 Vol.
3%
18°C
$15 Vol.
19%
19°C
$0 Vol.
12%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a cooling trend in Moscow driven by a shift from anticyclonic influence to increased southwesterly flow and cloud cover, positioning the September 2 daytime maximum near 20–22°C. This places market-implied odds for bins from 18°C to 22°C in close equilibrium as traders weigh variables including persistent variable cloudiness that reduces solar insolation, brief showers limiting surface heating, and moderate winds around 5–6 m/s that enhance mixing. Historical September averages hover near 18°C, but current ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in precipitation timing and exact frontal passage. Updated model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$33Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a cooling trend in Moscow driven by a shift from anticyclonic influence to increased southwesterly flow and cloud cover, positioning the September 2 daytime maximum near 20–22°C. This places market-implied odds for bins from 18°C to 22°C in close equilibrium as traders weigh variables including persistent variable cloudiness that reduces solar insolation, brief showers limiting surface heating, and moderate winds around 5–6 m/s that enhance mixing. Historical September averages hover near 18°C, but current ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in precipitation timing and exact frontal passage. Updated model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a cooling trend in Moscow driven by a shift from anticyclonic influence to increased southwesterly flow and cloud cover, positioning the September 2 daytime maximum near 20–22°C. This places market-implied odds for bins from 18°C to 22°C in close equilibrium as traders weigh variables including persistent variable cloudiness that reduces solar insolation, brief showers limiting surface heating, and moderate winds around 5–6 m/s that enhance mixing. Historical September averages hover near 18°C, but current ensemble runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in precipitation timing and exact frontal passage. Updated model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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