Recent forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and multiple European models indicate a high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on September 2, driven by a strengthening anticyclone bringing westerly flow, clearing skies, and reduced humidity after warmer late-August conditions near 27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds the highest implied probability at 42% and 22°C follows at 28%, reflecting trader consensus on model agreement for moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy to clear conditions. Typical early-September maxima near 21°C and the absence of significant warm-air advection support limited upside risk above 24°C, while overnight lows near 14–15°C limit any downward revision. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 2 septembre ?
22°C 46%
23°C 39%
21°C 19%
24°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
11%
22°C
28%
23°C
39%
24°C
15%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 46%
23°C 39%
21°C 19%
24°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
6%
21°C
$5 Vol.
11%
22°C
$65 Vol.
28%
23°C
$194 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
15%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$3 Vol.
4%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and multiple European models indicate a high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on September 2, driven by a strengthening anticyclone bringing westerly flow, clearing skies, and reduced humidity after warmer late-August conditions near 27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds the highest implied probability at 42% and 22°C follows at 28%, reflecting trader consensus on model agreement for moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy to clear conditions. Typical early-September maxima near 21°C and the absence of significant warm-air advection support limited upside risk above 24°C, while overnight lows near 14–15°C limit any downward revision. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$282Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and multiple European models indicate a high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on September 2, driven by a strengthening anticyclone bringing westerly flow, clearing skies, and reduced humidity after warmer late-August conditions near 27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds the highest implied probability at 42% and 22°C follows at 28%, reflecting trader consensus on model agreement for moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy to clear conditions. Typical early-September maxima near 21°C and the absence of significant warm-air advection support limited upside risk above 24°C, while overnight lows near 14–15°C limit any downward revision. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$282Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and multiple European models indicate a high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on September 2, driven by a strengthening anticyclone bringing westerly flow, clearing skies, and reduced humidity after warmer late-August conditions near 27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, where 23°C holds the highest implied probability at 42% and 22°C follows at 28%, reflecting trader consensus on model agreement for moderate daytime heating under partly cloudy to clear conditions. Typical early-September maxima near 21°C and the absence of significant warm-air advection support limited upside risk above 24°C, while overnight lows near 14–15°C limit any downward revision. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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