Latest short-term forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international sources indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C for Karachi on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 45.5% implied probability. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit stronger heating, while seasonal PMD guidance for above-normal temperatures through September provides supporting context. Model consensus clusters around 30–32°C, with minor variations possible from wind shifts or cloud cover. Updated agency briefings and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Karachi le 2 septembre ?
31°C 46%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
29°C 10%
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
19%
31°C
46%
32°C
24%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
29°C 10%
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
19%
31°C
46%
32°C
24%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-term forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international sources indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C for Karachi on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 45.5% implied probability. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, moderate humidity, and partly cloudy conditions are expected to limit stronger heating, while seasonal PMD guidance for above-normal temperatures through September provides supporting context. Model consensus clusters around 30–32°C, with minor variations possible from wind shifts or cloud cover. Updated agency briefings and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as the date approaches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes