**Recent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity over western Luzon, combined with model consensus around 30–32°C highs, anchors trader sentiment for Manila’s September 2 maximum temperature.** Active southwesterly flow, high humidity (often 80%+), and frequent cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms limit daytime heating compared to drier periods, keeping most official guidance in the low-30s Celsius range. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño may subtly suppress convection but has limited impact this early in the season versus the monsoon’s direct cooling effect. Minor differences among 31°C and 32°C outcomes (both near 24% implied probability) hinge on precise cloud timing, wind gusts, and localized shower intensity in the latest model runs, with PAGASA and global guidance showing only small spreads around the seasonal 31°C September average. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 2 septembre ?
31°C 25%
32°C 24%
30°C 11%
33°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
6%
35°C ou plus
1%
31°C 25%
32°C 24%
30°C 11%
33°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$45 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
25%
32°C
$0 Vol.
24%
33°C
$0 Vol.
11%
34°C
$25 Vol.
6%
35°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity over western Luzon, combined with model consensus around 30–32°C highs, anchors trader sentiment for Manila’s September 2 maximum temperature.** Active southwesterly flow, high humidity (often 80%+), and frequent cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms limit daytime heating compared to drier periods, keeping most official guidance in the low-30s Celsius range. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño may subtly suppress convection but has limited impact this early in the season versus the monsoon’s direct cooling effect. Minor differences among 31°C and 32°C outcomes (both near 24% implied probability) hinge on precise cloud timing, wind gusts, and localized shower intensity in the latest model runs, with PAGASA and global guidance showing only small spreads around the seasonal 31°C September average. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$70Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity over western Luzon, combined with model consensus around 30–32°C highs, anchors trader sentiment for Manila’s September 2 maximum temperature.** Active southwesterly flow, high humidity (often 80%+), and frequent cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms limit daytime heating compared to drier periods, keeping most official guidance in the low-30s Celsius range. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño may subtly suppress convection but has limited impact this early in the season versus the monsoon’s direct cooling effect. Minor differences among 31°C and 32°C outcomes (both near 24% implied probability) hinge on precise cloud timing, wind gusts, and localized shower intensity in the latest model runs, with PAGASA and global guidance showing only small spreads around the seasonal 31°C September average. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity over western Luzon, combined with model consensus around 30–32°C highs, anchors trader sentiment for Manila’s September 2 maximum temperature.** Active southwesterly flow, high humidity (often 80%+), and frequent cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms limit daytime heating compared to drier periods, keeping most official guidance in the low-30s Celsius range. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño may subtly suppress convection but has limited impact this early in the season versus the monsoon’s direct cooling effect. Minor differences among 31°C and 32°C outcomes (both near 24% implied probability) hinge on precise cloud timing, wind gusts, and localized shower intensity in the latest model runs, with PAGASA and global guidance showing only small spreads around the seasonal 31°C September average. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes