Persistent southwest monsoon flow across Metro Manila is sustaining high humidity levels near 85-90% and extensive cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and supports overnight lows clustered in the mid- to upper-20s °C. Multiple model runs through September 2 project minimum temperatures between 25–28 °C, with the precise value hinging on the timing and intensity of scattered thunderstorms and wind speeds from the southwest. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 25–26 °C, but current moisture-laden conditions and the distant influence of Tropical Depression Pilandok are keeping forecasts slightly warmer. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall onset within the final 48-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Manille le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Manille le 2 septembre ?
21°C ou moins 50%
28°C 26%
25°C 26%
26°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
50%
22°C
14%
23°C
10%
24°C
11%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
25%
31°C ou plus
2%
21°C ou moins 50%
28°C 26%
25°C 26%
26°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
50%
22°C
$5 Vol.
14%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
11%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$1 Vol.
26%
30°C
$5 Vol.
25%
31°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow across Metro Manila is sustaining high humidity levels near 85-90% and extensive cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and supports overnight lows clustered in the mid- to upper-20s °C. Multiple model runs through September 2 project minimum temperatures between 25–28 °C, with the precise value hinging on the timing and intensity of scattered thunderstorms and wind speeds from the southwest. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 25–26 °C, but current moisture-laden conditions and the distant influence of Tropical Depression Pilandok are keeping forecasts slightly warmer. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall onset within the final 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$21Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow across Metro Manila is sustaining high humidity levels near 85-90% and extensive cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and supports overnight lows clustered in the mid- to upper-20s °C. Multiple model runs through September 2 project minimum temperatures between 25–28 °C, with the precise value hinging on the timing and intensity of scattered thunderstorms and wind speeds from the southwest. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 25–26 °C, but current moisture-laden conditions and the distant influence of Tropical Depression Pilandok are keeping forecasts slightly warmer. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall onset within the final 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow across Metro Manila is sustaining high humidity levels near 85-90% and extensive cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and supports overnight lows clustered in the mid- to upper-20s °C. Multiple model runs through September 2 project minimum temperatures between 25–28 °C, with the precise value hinging on the timing and intensity of scattered thunderstorms and wind speeds from the southwest. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 25–26 °C, but current moisture-laden conditions and the distant influence of Tropical Depression Pilandok are keeping forecasts slightly warmer. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28 °C because ensemble spreads remain narrow yet sensitive to small shifts in cloud timing or rainfall onset within the final 48-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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