**Persistent Gulf moisture, high dew points near 75–77°F, and widespread cloud cover from ongoing showers and thunderstorms are the dominant factors keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Houston.** Southerly winds advect warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico, while forecast models from the National Weather Service and others show mostly cloudy skies through the night of September 2, 2026, with only modest clearing possible. This setup supports minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 50% each for the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Recent conditions reinforce this range: daytime highs reached the low-to-mid 90s amid scattered heavy rain, with heat indices over 105°F, and dew points remaining elevated. Historical averages for early September lows hover near 75°F, but the current pattern lacks any significant frontal passage or drier air mass to allow deeper cooling. Model consensus points to an overnight low around 79–81°F, with limited downside risk unless unexpected clearing and lighter winds develop—scenarios that explain the secondary interest in slightly cooler outcomes but keep probabilities for 71°F or below far lower. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and real-time observations will be the next key inputs for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Houston le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Houston le 2 septembre ?
71°F ou moins 99%
78-79 °F 51%
80-81°F 50%
76-77°F 44%
$368 Vol.
$368 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
71°F ou moins
99%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
44%
78-79 °F
51%
80-81°F
50%
82-83 °F
<1%
84-85 °F
<1%
86-87 °F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou plus
<1%
71°F ou moins 99%
78-79 °F 51%
80-81°F 50%
76-77°F 44%
$368 Vol.
$368 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
71°F ou moins
$35 Vol.
99%
72-73°F
$20 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$12 Vol.
22%
76-77°F
$17 Vol.
44%
78-79 °F
$0 Vol.
51%
80-81°F
$2 Vol.
50%
82-83 °F
$64 Vol.
<1%
84-85 °F
$42 Vol.
<1%
86-87 °F
$52 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$77 Vol.
<1%
90°F ou plus
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent Gulf moisture, high dew points near 75–77°F, and widespread cloud cover from ongoing showers and thunderstorms are the dominant factors keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Houston.** Southerly winds advect warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico, while forecast models from the National Weather Service and others show mostly cloudy skies through the night of September 2, 2026, with only modest clearing possible. This setup supports minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 50% each for the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins.
Recent conditions reinforce this range: daytime highs reached the low-to-mid 90s amid scattered heavy rain, with heat indices over 105°F, and dew points remaining elevated. Historical averages for early September lows hover near 75°F, but the current pattern lacks any significant frontal passage or drier air mass to allow deeper cooling. Model consensus points to an overnight low around 79–81°F, with limited downside risk unless unexpected clearing and lighter winds develop—scenarios that explain the secondary interest in slightly cooler outcomes but keep probabilities for 71°F or below far lower. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and real-time observations will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$368Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent Gulf moisture, high dew points near 75–77°F, and widespread cloud cover from ongoing showers and thunderstorms are the dominant factors keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Houston.** Southerly winds advect warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico, while forecast models from the National Weather Service and others show mostly cloudy skies through the night of September 2, 2026, with only modest clearing possible. This setup supports minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 50% each for the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins.
Recent conditions reinforce this range: daytime highs reached the low-to-mid 90s amid scattered heavy rain, with heat indices over 105°F, and dew points remaining elevated. Historical averages for early September lows hover near 75°F, but the current pattern lacks any significant frontal passage or drier air mass to allow deeper cooling. Model consensus points to an overnight low around 79–81°F, with limited downside risk unless unexpected clearing and lighter winds develop—scenarios that explain the secondary interest in slightly cooler outcomes but keep probabilities for 71°F or below far lower. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and real-time observations will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$368Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 3:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent Gulf moisture, high dew points near 75–77°F, and widespread cloud cover from ongoing showers and thunderstorms are the dominant factors keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Houston.** Southerly winds advect warm, humid air from the Gulf of Mexico, while forecast models from the National Weather Service and others show mostly cloudy skies through the night of September 2, 2026, with only modest clearing possible. This setup supports minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 50% each for the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Recent conditions reinforce this range: daytime highs reached the low-to-mid 90s amid scattered heavy rain, with heat indices over 105°F, and dew points remaining elevated. Historical averages for early September lows hover near 75°F, but the current pattern lacks any significant frontal passage or drier air mass to allow deeper cooling. Model consensus points to an overnight low around 79–81°F, with limited downside risk unless unexpected clearing and lighter winds develop—scenarios that explain the secondary interest in slightly cooler outcomes but keep probabilities for 71°F or below far lower. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and real-time observations will be the next key inputs for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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