Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City's September 4 overnight low settled near 12–13°C amid typical high-elevation radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters, moderate cloud cover limiting further drops, and light winds reducing mixing. September climatology shows average minima around 10°C with frequent 12–14°C readings during the rainy season transition, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C. The notable share for 7°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects versus clear-sky episodes or model spread in temperature inversions. Updated surface observations and station reports will resolve the exact threshold once fully processed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Mexico le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Mexico le 4 septembre ?
12°C 100%
7°C ou moins <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$5,493 Vol.
$5,493 Vol.
4 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
Non
8°C
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Oui
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C ou plus
Non
12°C 100%
7°C ou moins <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$5,493 Vol.
$5,493 Vol.
4 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$122 Vol.
Non
8°C
$161 Vol.
Non
9°C
$239 Vol.
Non
10°C
$228 Vol.
Non
11°C
$74 Vol.
Non
12°C
$4,086 Vol.
Oui
13°C
$84 Vol.
Non
14°C
$89 Vol.
Non
15°C
$124 Vol.
Non
16°C
$179 Vol.
Non
17°C ou plus
$107 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City's September 4 overnight low settled near 12–13°C amid typical high-elevation radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters, moderate cloud cover limiting further drops, and light winds reducing mixing. September climatology shows average minima around 10°C with frequent 12–14°C readings during the rainy season transition, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C. The notable share for 7°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects versus clear-sky episodes or model spread in temperature inversions. Updated surface observations and station reports will resolve the exact threshold once fully processed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$5,493Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City's September 4 overnight low settled near 12–13°C amid typical high-elevation radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters, moderate cloud cover limiting further drops, and light winds reducing mixing. September climatology shows average minima around 10°C with frequent 12–14°C readings during the rainy season transition, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C. The notable share for 7°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects versus clear-sky episodes or model spread in temperature inversions. Updated surface observations and station reports will resolve the exact threshold once fully processed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,493Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City's September 4 overnight low settled near 12–13°C amid typical high-elevation radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters, moderate cloud cover limiting further drops, and light winds reducing mixing. September climatology shows average minima around 10°C with frequent 12–14°C readings during the rainy season transition, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C. The notable share for 7°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects versus clear-sky episodes or model spread in temperature inversions. Updated surface observations and station reports will resolve the exact threshold once fully processed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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