Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Paris on September 2 under stable high pressure and light westerly flow of mild Atlantic air. This setup favors typical early-September diurnal warming without strong warm advection or clear-sky extremes, consistent with climatological baselines near 22–25°C. Recent model consensus has tightened around a 25°C peak, supporting the market's heaviest weighting there while leaving modest probability for 24°C or 26°C depending on final afternoon observations and any minor timing shifts in cloud cover. Updated agency briefings and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Paris le 2 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Paris le 2 septembre ?
25°C 49%
26°C 24%
24°C 16%
27°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$12,302 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,302 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
16%
25°C
49%
26°C
24%
27°C
8%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
26°C 24%
24°C 16%
27°C 8%
NOUVEAU
$12,302 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,302 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
20°C or below
$420 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$391 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,440 Vol.
2%
24°C
$2,734 Vol.
16%
25°C
$2,186 Vol.
49%
26°C
$1,509 Vol.
24%
27°C
$1,132 Vol.
8%
28°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$931 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Paris on September 2 under stable high pressure and light westerly flow of mild Atlantic air. This setup favors typical early-September diurnal warming without strong warm advection or clear-sky extremes, consistent with climatological baselines near 22–25°C. Recent model consensus has tightened around a 25°C peak, supporting the market's heaviest weighting there while leaving modest probability for 24°C or 26°C depending on final afternoon observations and any minor timing shifts in cloud cover. Updated agency briefings and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$12,302Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Paris on September 2 under stable high pressure and light westerly flow of mild Atlantic air. This setup favors typical early-September diurnal warming without strong warm advection or clear-sky extremes, consistent with climatological baselines near 22–25°C. Recent model consensus has tightened around a 25°C peak, supporting the market's heaviest weighting there while leaving modest probability for 24°C or 26°C depending on final afternoon observations and any minor timing shifts in cloud cover. Updated agency briefings and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,302Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 24–26°C in Paris on September 2 under stable high pressure and light westerly flow of mild Atlantic air. This setup favors typical early-September diurnal warming without strong warm advection or clear-sky extremes, consistent with climatological baselines near 22–25°C. Recent model consensus has tightened around a 25°C peak, supporting the market's heaviest weighting there while leaving modest probability for 24°C or 26°C depending on final afternoon observations and any minor timing shifts in cloud cover. Updated agency briefings and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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