**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, point to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on September 2, driven by northerly flow advecting milder air and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling overnight.** Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, with possible showers and dew points near 10–12°C, limit the potential for sharp temperature drops, while surface pressure around 1015–1020 hPa supports stable but not strongly stable boundary-layer conditions. Historical September minima average near 9°C, providing context for the spread in outcomes, yet the close market-implied probabilities between 7°C or below and single-digit thresholds reflect genuine uncertainty in the latest model runs regarding wind shifts and precipitation timing. Updated guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 2 septembre ?
8°C 73%
15°C 73%
16°C 73%
10°C 72%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
55%
8°C
73%
9°C
45%
10°C
72%
11°C
72%
12°C
15%
13°C
72%
14°C
72%
15°C
73%
16°C
73%
17°C ou plus
8%
8°C 73%
15°C 73%
16°C 73%
10°C 72%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
55%
8°C
$0 Vol.
73%
9°C
$0 Vol.
45%
10°C
$0 Vol.
72%
11°C
$0 Vol.
72%
12°C
$107 Vol.
15%
13°C
$5 Vol.
72%
14°C
$5 Vol.
72%
15°C
$5 Vol.
73%
16°C
$5 Vol.
73%
17°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, point to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on September 2, driven by northerly flow advecting milder air and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling overnight.**
Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, with possible showers and dew points near 10–12°C, limit the potential for sharp temperature drops, while surface pressure around 1015–1020 hPa supports stable but not strongly stable boundary-layer conditions. Historical September minima average near 9°C, providing context for the spread in outcomes, yet the close market-implied probabilities between 7°C or below and single-digit thresholds reflect genuine uncertainty in the latest model runs regarding wind shifts and precipitation timing. Updated guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$132Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, point to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on September 2, driven by northerly flow advecting milder air and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling overnight.**
Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, with possible showers and dew points near 10–12°C, limit the potential for sharp temperature drops, while surface pressure around 1015–1020 hPa supports stable but not strongly stable boundary-layer conditions. Historical September minima average near 9°C, providing context for the spread in outcomes, yet the close market-implied probabilities between 7°C or below and single-digit thresholds reflect genuine uncertainty in the latest model runs regarding wind shifts and precipitation timing. Updated guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$132Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, point to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on September 2, driven by northerly flow advecting milder air and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling overnight.** Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions, with possible showers and dew points near 10–12°C, limit the potential for sharp temperature drops, while surface pressure around 1015–1020 hPa supports stable but not strongly stable boundary-layer conditions. Historical September minima average near 9°C, providing context for the spread in outcomes, yet the close market-implied probabilities between 7°C or below and single-digit thresholds reflect genuine uncertainty in the latest model runs regarding wind shifts and precipitation timing. Updated guidance from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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