Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms on September 3 as the main driver capping Miami's peak temperature near 87–89 °F. Persistent east-southeast flow and deep tropical moisture (precipitable water above 2 inches) are fueling scattered to numerous convective cells that increase cloud cover, reduce surface heating, and produce evaporative cooling—conditions typical for early September but stronger than average this week. These factors shift implied probabilities toward the 88–91 °F bins while limiting upside to 92 °F or higher. Updated NWS point forecasts and ensemble runs through early September 2 will provide the next key signals before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 3 septembre ?
90-91 °F 52%
88-89°F 19%
92-93 °F 15%
86-87 °F 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
77°F ou moins
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81 °F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85 °F
7%
86-87 °F
9%
88-89°F
19%
90-91 °F
52%
92-93 °F
15%
94-95°F
4%
96°F ou plus
2%
90-91 °F 52%
88-89°F 19%
92-93 °F 15%
86-87 °F 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
77°F ou moins
$10 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
1%
80-81 °F
$10 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
1%
84-85 °F
$20 Vol.
7%
86-87 °F
$6 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$29 Vol.
19%
90-91 °F
$737 Vol.
52%
92-93 °F
$0 Vol.
15%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
4%
96°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms on September 3 as the main driver capping Miami's peak temperature near 87–89 °F. Persistent east-southeast flow and deep tropical moisture (precipitable water above 2 inches) are fueling scattered to numerous convective cells that increase cloud cover, reduce surface heating, and produce evaporative cooling—conditions typical for early September but stronger than average this week. These factors shift implied probabilities toward the 88–91 °F bins while limiting upside to 92 °F or higher. Updated NWS point forecasts and ensemble runs through early September 2 will provide the next key signals before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$822Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms on September 3 as the main driver capping Miami's peak temperature near 87–89 °F. Persistent east-southeast flow and deep tropical moisture (precipitable water above 2 inches) are fueling scattered to numerous convective cells that increase cloud cover, reduce surface heating, and produce evaporative cooling—conditions typical for early September but stronger than average this week. These factors shift implied probabilities toward the 88–91 °F bins while limiting upside to 92 °F or higher. Updated NWS point forecasts and ensemble runs through early September 2 will provide the next key signals before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$822Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to widespread afternoon showers and thunderstorms on September 3 as the main driver capping Miami's peak temperature near 87–89 °F. Persistent east-southeast flow and deep tropical moisture (precipitable water above 2 inches) are fueling scattered to numerous convective cells that increase cloud cover, reduce surface heating, and produce evaporative cooling—conditions typical for early September but stronger than average this week. These factors shift implied probabilities toward the 88–91 °F bins while limiting upside to 92 °F or higher. Updated NWS point forecasts and ensemble runs through early September 2 will provide the next key signals before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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