Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 92°F for Houston on September 3 amid south-southeast flow and 60% afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances, yet persistent model spreads and convective timing create the tight clustering around 86–89°F market-implied odds. Abundant Gulf moisture, high dew points near 75°F, and potential for early cloud cover or outflow boundaries could cap daytime heating below guidance, while clearer breaks or delayed storms would allow readings to reach the low 90s. These variables, typical of late-summer patterns where climatological highs average 91°F, explain why traders heavily favor the narrow 86–89°F range over higher or lower bins ahead of updated model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 3 septembre ?
88-89 °F 38%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 16%
84-85°F 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
81°F ou moins
1%
82-83 °F
1%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
32%
88-89 °F
38%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
9%
94-95 °F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98-99 °F
1%
100°F ou plus
<1%
88-89 °F 38%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 16%
84-85°F 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
81°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
1%
82-83 °F
$4 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
13%
86-87°F
$263 Vol.
32%
88-89 °F
$32 Vol.
38%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
16%
92-93°F
$7 Vol.
9%
94-95 °F
$0 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
1%
98-99 °F
$0 Vol.
1%
100°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 92°F for Houston on September 3 amid south-southeast flow and 60% afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances, yet persistent model spreads and convective timing create the tight clustering around 86–89°F market-implied odds. Abundant Gulf moisture, high dew points near 75°F, and potential for early cloud cover or outflow boundaries could cap daytime heating below guidance, while clearer breaks or delayed storms would allow readings to reach the low 90s. These variables, typical of late-summer patterns where climatological highs average 91°F, explain why traders heavily favor the narrow 86–89°F range over higher or lower bins ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$316Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 92°F for Houston on September 3 amid south-southeast flow and 60% afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances, yet persistent model spreads and convective timing create the tight clustering around 86–89°F market-implied odds. Abundant Gulf moisture, high dew points near 75°F, and potential for early cloud cover or outflow boundaries could cap daytime heating below guidance, while clearer breaks or delayed storms would allow readings to reach the low 90s. These variables, typical of late-summer patterns where climatological highs average 91°F, explain why traders heavily favor the narrow 86–89°F range over higher or lower bins ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$316Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 92°F for Houston on September 3 amid south-southeast flow and 60% afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances, yet persistent model spreads and convective timing create the tight clustering around 86–89°F market-implied odds. Abundant Gulf moisture, high dew points near 75°F, and potential for early cloud cover or outflow boundaries could cap daytime heating below guidance, while clearer breaks or delayed storms would allow readings to reach the low 90s. These variables, typical of late-summer patterns where climatological highs average 91°F, explain why traders heavily favor the narrow 86–89°F range over higher or lower bins ahead of updated model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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