Recent National Weather Service guidance places Houston's September 1 high near 94°F under partly sunny skies with a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, while private models show a range from the low 90s to upper 90s depending on convective timing. Persistent humidity and potential early cloud cover or rainfall could suppress peak readings toward the historical 91–92°F average for the date, explaining why the two lowest bins now command roughly 63% combined implied probability. Steep model spread on boundary-layer mixing and storm initiation remains the dominant uncertainty, with new NWS updates and high-resolution runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Houston le 1er septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Houston le 1er septembre ?
88-89°F 31%
32-32,8°C 31%
30-30,5°C 26%
92-93 °F 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
81°F ou moins
<1%
82-83 °F
<1%
84-85 °F
19%
30-30,5°C
26%
88-89°F
31%
32-32,8°C
31%
92-93 °F
24%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
7%
100 °F ou plus
7%
88-89°F 31%
32-32,8°C 31%
30-30,5°C 26%
92-93 °F 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
81°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
82-83 °F
$0 Vol.
<1%
84-85 °F
$0 Vol.
19%
30-30,5°C
$0 Vol.
26%
88-89°F
$62 Vol.
31%
32-32,8°C
$3 Vol.
31%
92-93 °F
$315 Vol.
24%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
7%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
7%
100 °F ou plus
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance places Houston's September 1 high near 94°F under partly sunny skies with a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, while private models show a range from the low 90s to upper 90s depending on convective timing. Persistent humidity and potential early cloud cover or rainfall could suppress peak readings toward the historical 91–92°F average for the date, explaining why the two lowest bins now command roughly 63% combined implied probability. Steep model spread on boundary-layer mixing and storm initiation remains the dominant uncertainty, with new NWS updates and high-resolution runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$376Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance places Houston's September 1 high near 94°F under partly sunny skies with a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, while private models show a range from the low 90s to upper 90s depending on convective timing. Persistent humidity and potential early cloud cover or rainfall could suppress peak readings toward the historical 91–92°F average for the date, explaining why the two lowest bins now command roughly 63% combined implied probability. Steep model spread on boundary-layer mixing and storm initiation remains the dominant uncertainty, with new NWS updates and high-resolution runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$376Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance places Houston's September 1 high near 94°F under partly sunny skies with a 50% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms, while private models show a range from the low 90s to upper 90s depending on convective timing. Persistent humidity and potential early cloud cover or rainfall could suppress peak readings toward the historical 91–92°F average for the date, explaining why the two lowest bins now command roughly 63% combined implied probability. Steep model spread on boundary-layer mixing and storm initiation remains the dominant uncertainty, with new NWS updates and high-resolution runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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