Official NWS forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a stable high-pressure ridge over the Northeast on August 30, producing mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 5–10 mph with afternoon gusts, and only a 20% chance of light showers. These conditions support maximum temperatures centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia, where the market resolves, though modest afternoon cloud cover or a strengthening sea breeze could trim peaks by 1–3°F. Latest model runs show narrow spread around this range, explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins with only slight differentiation from urban heat-island effects and verification biases. Historical late-August baselines near 81°F provide additional context for the balanced probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à New York le 30 août ?
Température la plus élevée à New York le 30 août ?
82-83°F 33%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 33%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
73°F or below
$236 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$12 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$318 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$315 Vol.
33%
84-85°F
$200 Vol.
27%
86-87°F
$402 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$17 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$7 Vol.
2%
92°F or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a stable high-pressure ridge over the Northeast on August 30, producing mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 5–10 mph with afternoon gusts, and only a 20% chance of light showers. These conditions support maximum temperatures centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia, where the market resolves, though modest afternoon cloud cover or a strengthening sea breeze could trim peaks by 1–3°F. Latest model runs show narrow spread around this range, explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins with only slight differentiation from urban heat-island effects and verification biases. Historical late-August baselines near 81°F provide additional context for the balanced probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,517Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a stable high-pressure ridge over the Northeast on August 30, producing mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 5–10 mph with afternoon gusts, and only a 20% chance of light showers. These conditions support maximum temperatures centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia, where the market resolves, though modest afternoon cloud cover or a strengthening sea breeze could trim peaks by 1–3°F. Latest model runs show narrow spread around this range, explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins with only slight differentiation from urban heat-island effects and verification biases. Historical late-August baselines near 81°F provide additional context for the balanced probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,517Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a stable high-pressure ridge over the Northeast on August 30, producing mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 5–10 mph with afternoon gusts, and only a 20% chance of light showers. These conditions support maximum temperatures centered in the mid-80s at LaGuardia, where the market resolves, though modest afternoon cloud cover or a strengthening sea breeze could trim peaks by 1–3°F. Latest model runs show narrow spread around this range, explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly between the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins with only slight differentiation from urban heat-island effects and verification biases. Historical late-August baselines near 81°F provide additional context for the balanced probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes