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icon for La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ?

La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ?

icon for La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ?

La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ?

août 28

août 29

août 30

août 31

août 28

août 29

août 30

août 31

29°C 37%

30°C 35%

31°C 12%

28°C 11%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

29°C 37%

30°C 35%

31°C 12%

28°C 11%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

25°C or below

$110 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$120 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$594 Vol.

2%

28°C

$576 Vol.

11%

29°C

$994 Vol.

37%

30°C

$1,289 Vol.

35%

31°C

$755 Vol.

12%

32°C

$497 Vol.

5%

33°C

$553 Vol.

2%

34°C

$338 Vol.

<1%

35°C or higher

$219 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 26–30°C for September 1, driven by northeasterly monsoon flow of force 4–5 with occasional stronger gusts and mainly cloudy conditions interspersed with squally showers and thunderstorms. These factors limit surface solar heating while enhancing evaporative cooling and vertical mixing, keeping daytime peaks near the climatological early-September average of roughly 29–31°C. Model consensus and recent observational trends support a tight contest between 29°C and 30°C as the most probable outcomes, with deviations hinging on the precise timing, coverage, and intensity of convective activity that could either suppress or briefly allow greater insolation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,045
Date de fin
1 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 26–30°C for September 1, driven by northeasterly monsoon flow of force 4–5 with occasional stronger gusts and mainly cloudy conditions interspersed with squally showers and thunderstorms. These factors limit surface solar heating while enhancing evaporative cooling and vertical mixing, keeping daytime peaks near the climatological early-September average of roughly 29–31°C. Model consensus and recent observational trends support a tight contest between 29°C and 30°C as the most probable outcomes, with deviations hinging on the precise timing, coverage, and intensity of convective activity that could either suppress or briefly allow greater insolation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,045
Date de fin
1 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Connexes

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?

44%
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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 2?

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Questions fréquentes

« La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 29°C » à 37%, suivi de « 30°C » à 35%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 37¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 30, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ? » est « 29°C » à 37%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30°C » à 35%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 1er septembre ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.