Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 2 septembre ?
25°C 84%
24°C 18%
23°C 1.3%
26°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$11,261 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,261 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
18%
25°C
84%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 84%
24°C 18%
23°C 1.3%
26°C <1%
NOUVEAU
$11,261 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$11,261 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
21°C or below
$299 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$487 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,361 Vol.
1%
24°C
$774 Vol.
18%
25°C
$1,577 Vol.
84%
26°C
$2,998 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,816 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$324 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,261Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,261Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature near 26°C on September 2, driven by northeast monsoon winds and the passage of Tropical Cyclone Sadul across the northern South China Sea, which is enhancing cloud cover, showers, and localized cooling without a strong cold surge. Current observations on September 1 hover around 27–28°C, with model guidance showing overnight radiative cooling limited by high humidity (70–95%) and persistent cloud. The market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C (81.5% implied probability) versus 24°C (17.5%) reflects trader consensus that scattered rain and moderate winds will shave 1–2°C off the typical early-September baseline, while probabilities below 24°C remain negligible absent an unexpected frontal passage. Updated HKO briefings and regional model runs over the next 24 hours will be key resolution signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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