Recent weather model consensus from sources such as GFS indicates Toronto's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely reach 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, following a warm, humid September 2 with thunderstorms. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.9°C yet exceeds some shorter-range guidance that had trended cooler. Market-implied odds remain balanced across 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher outcomes because of typical uncertainties in urban heat-island effects, precise timing of the daily minimum, and minor model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Traders are weighting real-time observational updates and any late forecast revisions that could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Toronto le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Toronto le 3 septembre ?
15°C ou moins 78%
25°C ou plus 77%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
78%
16°C
10%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
28%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C ou plus
77%
15°C ou moins 78%
25°C ou plus 77%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$62 Vol.
78%
16°C
$237 Vol.
10%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$42 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$82 Vol.
50%
24°C
$62 Vol.
50%
25°C ou plus
$62 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources such as GFS indicates Toronto's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely reach 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, following a warm, humid September 2 with thunderstorms. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.9°C yet exceeds some shorter-range guidance that had trended cooler. Market-implied odds remain balanced across 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher outcomes because of typical uncertainties in urban heat-island effects, precise timing of the daily minimum, and minor model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Traders are weighting real-time observational updates and any late forecast revisions that could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$547Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources such as GFS indicates Toronto's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely reach 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, following a warm, humid September 2 with thunderstorms. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.9°C yet exceeds some shorter-range guidance that had trended cooler. Market-implied odds remain balanced across 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher outcomes because of typical uncertainties in urban heat-island effects, precise timing of the daily minimum, and minor model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Traders are weighting real-time observational updates and any late forecast revisions that could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$547Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources such as GFS indicates Toronto's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely reach 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, following a warm, humid September 2 with thunderstorms. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 15.9°C yet exceeds some shorter-range guidance that had trended cooler. Market-implied odds remain balanced across 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher outcomes because of typical uncertainties in urban heat-island effects, precise timing of the daily minimum, and minor model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Traders are weighting real-time observational updates and any late forecast revisions that could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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