Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 25–31°C on September 3 amid northwest winds of force 4–5 and scattered showers from the lingering influence of Tropical Cyclone Saudel. Multiple numerical models converge on daytime peaks near 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited sunshine and moderate humidity, consistent with early-September climatology. The tight spread between 29°C (31% implied probability) and 30°C (28%) reflects genuine uncertainty in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, and any brief clearing that could allow brief warming. Traders are weighting the balance of recent model runs and the moderating effects of persistent onshore flow against historical daily maxima around 30–31°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 3 septembre ?
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
30°C 28%
27°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
12%
28°C
20%
29°C
31%
30°C
28%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
30°C 28%
27°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
23°C or below
$11 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$125 Vol.
4%
26°C
$70 Vol.
8%
27°C
$47 Vol.
12%
28°C
$20 Vol.
20%
29°C
$40 Vol.
31%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C
$170 Vol.
8%
32°C
$139 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 25–31°C on September 3 amid northwest winds of force 4–5 and scattered showers from the lingering influence of Tropical Cyclone Saudel. Multiple numerical models converge on daytime peaks near 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited sunshine and moderate humidity, consistent with early-September climatology. The tight spread between 29°C (31% implied probability) and 30°C (28%) reflects genuine uncertainty in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, and any brief clearing that could allow brief warming. Traders are weighting the balance of recent model runs and the moderating effects of persistent onshore flow against historical daily maxima around 30–31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$632Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 25–31°C on September 3 amid northwest winds of force 4–5 and scattered showers from the lingering influence of Tropical Cyclone Saudel. Multiple numerical models converge on daytime peaks near 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited sunshine and moderate humidity, consistent with early-September climatology. The tight spread between 29°C (31% implied probability) and 30°C (28%) reflects genuine uncertainty in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, and any brief clearing that could allow brief warming. Traders are weighting the balance of recent model runs and the moderating effects of persistent onshore flow against historical daily maxima around 30–31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$632Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum of 25–31°C on September 3 amid northwest winds of force 4–5 and scattered showers from the lingering influence of Tropical Cyclone Saudel. Multiple numerical models converge on daytime peaks near 29–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with limited sunshine and moderate humidity, consistent with early-September climatology. The tight spread between 29°C (31% implied probability) and 30°C (28%) reflects genuine uncertainty in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, and any brief clearing that could allow brief warming. Traders are weighting the balance of recent model runs and the moderating effects of persistent onshore flow against historical daily maxima around 30–31°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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