Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Austin overnight lows on September 3 will likely settle in the mid to upper 70s amid continued southerly flow, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm chances that limit radiative cooling. With daytime highs projected near 96–100 °F, the boundary layer remains warm, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 75–79 °F. Historical September 3 averages near 71 °F highlight the anomalous warmth, yet no strong frontal passage or drier air mass is expected before the date. This tight clustering of model guidance explains the market’s close contest between the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins, with modest probability on warmer outliers reflecting residual forecast spread in moisture and wind. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Austin le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Austin le 3 septembre ?
88°F ou plus 59%
69°F ou moins 52%
70-71 °F 49%
76-77°F 35%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
52%
70-71 °F
49%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
35%
78-79 °F
32%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
25%
84-85 °F
19%
86-87°F
19%
88°F ou plus
59%
88°F ou plus 59%
69°F ou moins 52%
70-71 °F 49%
76-77°F 35%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
$10 Vol.
52%
70-71 °F
$10 Vol.
49%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
35%
78-79 °F
$0 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
25%
84-85 °F
$10 Vol.
19%
86-87°F
$10 Vol.
19%
88°F ou plus
$10 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Austin overnight lows on September 3 will likely settle in the mid to upper 70s amid continued southerly flow, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm chances that limit radiative cooling. With daytime highs projected near 96–100 °F, the boundary layer remains warm, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 75–79 °F. Historical September 3 averages near 71 °F highlight the anomalous warmth, yet no strong frontal passage or drier air mass is expected before the date. This tight clustering of model guidance explains the market’s close contest between the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins, with modest probability on warmer outliers reflecting residual forecast spread in moisture and wind. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$50Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Austin overnight lows on September 3 will likely settle in the mid to upper 70s amid continued southerly flow, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm chances that limit radiative cooling. With daytime highs projected near 96–100 °F, the boundary layer remains warm, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 75–79 °F. Historical September 3 averages near 71 °F highlight the anomalous warmth, yet no strong frontal passage or drier air mass is expected before the date. This tight clustering of model guidance explains the market’s close contest between the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins, with modest probability on warmer outliers reflecting residual forecast spread in moisture and wind. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate Austin overnight lows on September 3 will likely settle in the mid to upper 70s amid continued southerly flow, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm chances that limit radiative cooling. With daytime highs projected near 96–100 °F, the boundary layer remains warm, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 75–79 °F. Historical September 3 averages near 71 °F highlight the anomalous warmth, yet no strong frontal passage or drier air mass is expected before the date. This tight clustering of model guidance explains the market’s close contest between the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins, with modest probability on warmer outliers reflecting residual forecast spread in moisture and wind. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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