Current short-range forecasts from regional and global models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate sunny conditions and a maximum temperature near 28–29°C for Qingdao on September 2, consistent with early-September climatology along the Yellow Sea coast. Stable high pressure, northerly flow, and limited moisture advection support modest daytime warming without significant heat advection or cloud cover to suppress highs. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, with ensemble spreads remaining narrow. Traders weigh these factors against historical extremes and any final model updates expected before resolution, producing market-implied odds centered on typical late-summer values rather than outlier warmth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 2 septembre ?
29°C 32%
30°C 26%
28°C 21%
33°C 19%
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
18%
28°C
21%
29°C
32%
30°C
26%
31°C
17%
32°C
19%
33°C
19%
34°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 32%
30°C 26%
28°C 21%
33°C 19%
24°C ou moins
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
18%
28°C
21%
29°C
32%
30°C
26%
31°C
17%
32°C
19%
33°C
19%
34°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from regional and global models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate sunny conditions and a maximum temperature near 28–29°C for Qingdao on September 2, consistent with early-September climatology along the Yellow Sea coast. Stable high pressure, northerly flow, and limited moisture advection support modest daytime warming without significant heat advection or cloud cover to suppress highs. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, with ensemble spreads remaining narrow. Traders weigh these factors against historical extremes and any final model updates expected before resolution, producing market-implied odds centered on typical late-summer values rather than outlier warmth.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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