Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a post-frontal westerly flow over southern England on August 31, with maximum temperatures most likely settling between 21–23 °C. Strengthening high pressure and decreasing cloud cover should allow modest daytime warming, yet the Atlantic airstream and residual moisture limit further rises, keeping 24 °C or higher as lower-probability outcomes. These conditions align closely with late-August climatology for London, where urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C above rural values but are offset by moderate winds. Traders are weighting official forecast updates and 12 UTC model runs most heavily, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can move the daily maximum by 1 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 31 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 31 août ?
22°C 32%
23°C 22%
21°C 19%
19°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
15%
20°C
11%
21°C
19%
22°C
32%
23°C
22%
24°C
13%
25°C
15%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 32%
23°C 22%
21°C 19%
19°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
15%
20°C
$64 Vol.
11%
21°C
$131 Vol.
19%
22°C
$35 Vol.
32%
23°C
$25 Vol.
22%
24°C
$30 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a post-frontal westerly flow over southern England on August 31, with maximum temperatures most likely settling between 21–23 °C. Strengthening high pressure and decreasing cloud cover should allow modest daytime warming, yet the Atlantic airstream and residual moisture limit further rises, keeping 24 °C or higher as lower-probability outcomes. These conditions align closely with late-August climatology for London, where urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C above rural values but are offset by moderate winds. Traders are weighting official forecast updates and 12 UTC model runs most heavily, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can move the daily maximum by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$284Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a post-frontal westerly flow over southern England on August 31, with maximum temperatures most likely settling between 21–23 °C. Strengthening high pressure and decreasing cloud cover should allow modest daytime warming, yet the Atlantic airstream and residual moisture limit further rises, keeping 24 °C or higher as lower-probability outcomes. These conditions align closely with late-August climatology for London, where urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C above rural values but are offset by moderate winds. Traders are weighting official forecast updates and 12 UTC model runs most heavily, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can move the daily maximum by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$284Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a post-frontal westerly flow over southern England on August 31, with maximum temperatures most likely settling between 21–23 °C. Strengthening high pressure and decreasing cloud cover should allow modest daytime warming, yet the Atlantic airstream and residual moisture limit further rises, keeping 24 °C or higher as lower-probability outcomes. These conditions align closely with late-August climatology for London, where urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C above rural values but are offset by moderate winds. Traders are weighting official forecast updates and 12 UTC model runs most heavily, as small shifts in cloud timing or wind speed can move the daily maximum by 1 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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