Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models point to overnight lows of 13–15 °C in London on 31 August under a mild westerly Atlantic flow, with broken cloud allowing modest radiative cooling after sunset. This keeps the market tightly contested between 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between lingering moisture that limits clear-sky heat loss and strengthening winds that enhance turbulent mixing. Historical August minima in the capital average near 14 °C, but the current setup shows limited potential for deeper cooling absent a sharper high-pressure ridge or lighter winds. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will determine whether the minimum settles near 14 °C or holds closer to 16 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 31 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 31 août ?
16°C 39%
15°C 39%
13°C 16%
20°C ou plus 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
10°C ou moins
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
15%
13°C
16%
14°C
15%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
14%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C ou plus
16%
16°C 39%
15°C 39%
13°C 16%
20°C ou plus 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
10°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
11°C
$30 Vol.
13%
12°C
$30 Vol.
15%
13°C
$30 Vol.
16%
14°C
$32 Vol.
15%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$122 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C
$50 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models point to overnight lows of 13–15 °C in London on 31 August under a mild westerly Atlantic flow, with broken cloud allowing modest radiative cooling after sunset. This keeps the market tightly contested between 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between lingering moisture that limits clear-sky heat loss and strengthening winds that enhance turbulent mixing. Historical August minima in the capital average near 14 °C, but the current setup shows limited potential for deeper cooling absent a sharper high-pressure ridge or lighter winds. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will determine whether the minimum settles near 14 °C or holds closer to 16 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$263Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models point to overnight lows of 13–15 °C in London on 31 August under a mild westerly Atlantic flow, with broken cloud allowing modest radiative cooling after sunset. This keeps the market tightly contested between 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between lingering moisture that limits clear-sky heat loss and strengthening winds that enhance turbulent mixing. Historical August minima in the capital average near 14 °C, but the current setup shows limited potential for deeper cooling absent a sharper high-pressure ridge or lighter winds. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will determine whether the minimum settles near 14 °C or holds closer to 16 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$263Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models point to overnight lows of 13–15 °C in London on 31 August under a mild westerly Atlantic flow, with broken cloud allowing modest radiative cooling after sunset. This keeps the market tightly contested between 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between lingering moisture that limits clear-sky heat loss and strengthening winds that enhance turbulent mixing. Historical August minima in the capital average near 14 °C, but the current setup shows limited potential for deeper cooling absent a sharper high-pressure ridge or lighter winds. Updated model runs and surface observations through the weekend will determine whether the minimum settles near 14 °C or holds closer to 16 °C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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