Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a September 1 overnight low near 15 °C in Moscow, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses ahead of a weak frontal passage. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum above historical early-September averages of roughly 10–11 °C. Model spreads remain modest, with some runs showing slightly cooler readings if clearer skies develop, while others allow brief warming. This uncertainty, combined with the short forecast horizon, sustains balanced trader positioning across the 9 °C-or-below and 19 °C-or-higher brackets alongside clustered probabilities near the 13–17 °C range. Updated model runs and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Moscou le 1er septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Moscou le 1er septembre ?
19°C or higher 94%
9°C or below 93%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
9°C or below
93%
10°C
49%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
94%
19°C or higher 94%
9°C or below 93%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
93%
10°C
$0 Vol.
49%
11°C
$0 Vol.
50%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
50%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a September 1 overnight low near 15 °C in Moscow, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses ahead of a weak frontal passage. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum above historical early-September averages of roughly 10–11 °C. Model spreads remain modest, with some runs showing slightly cooler readings if clearer skies develop, while others allow brief warming. This uncertainty, combined with the short forecast horizon, sustains balanced trader positioning across the 9 °C-or-below and 19 °C-or-higher brackets alongside clustered probabilities near the 13–17 °C range. Updated model runs and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a September 1 overnight low near 15 °C in Moscow, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses ahead of a weak frontal passage. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum above historical early-September averages of roughly 10–11 °C. Model spreads remain modest, with some runs showing slightly cooler readings if clearer skies develop, while others allow brief warming. This uncertainty, combined with the short forecast horizon, sustains balanced trader positioning across the 9 °C-or-below and 19 °C-or-higher brackets alongside clustered probabilities near the 13–17 °C range. Updated model runs and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a September 1 overnight low near 15 °C in Moscow, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses ahead of a weak frontal passage. Variable cloud cover and scattered showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum above historical early-September averages of roughly 10–11 °C. Model spreads remain modest, with some runs showing slightly cooler readings if clearer skies develop, while others allow brief warming. This uncertainty, combined with the short forecast horizon, sustains balanced trader positioning across the 9 °C-or-below and 19 °C-or-higher brackets alongside clustered probabilities near the 13–17 °C range. Updated model runs and official Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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