Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's September 1 maximum likely falling in the mid-20s °C range, driven by southerly or southwesterly air advection bringing warmer conditions ahead of a seasonal transition. Differences among 23–27 °C outcomes hinge on cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms that could cap daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, plus exact steering of the air mass. Historical September 1 averages near 18 °C underscore the current positive anomaly, yet short-range model runs diverge on convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing closely matched market-implied odds that capture this genuine forecast uncertainty just 48 hours ahead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Moscou le 1er septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Moscou le 1er septembre ?
25°C 26%
26°C 25%
27°C 21%
24°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
7%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
17%
25°C
26%
26°C
25%
27°C
21%
28°C or higher
7%
25°C 26%
26°C 25%
27°C 21%
24°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$0 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$0 Vol.
17%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C or higher
$11 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's September 1 maximum likely falling in the mid-20s °C range, driven by southerly or southwesterly air advection bringing warmer conditions ahead of a seasonal transition. Differences among 23–27 °C outcomes hinge on cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms that could cap daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, plus exact steering of the air mass. Historical September 1 averages near 18 °C underscore the current positive anomaly, yet short-range model runs diverge on convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing closely matched market-implied odds that capture this genuine forecast uncertainty just 48 hours ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's September 1 maximum likely falling in the mid-20s °C range, driven by southerly or southwesterly air advection bringing warmer conditions ahead of a seasonal transition. Differences among 23–27 °C outcomes hinge on cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms that could cap daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, plus exact steering of the air mass. Historical September 1 averages near 18 °C underscore the current positive anomaly, yet short-range model runs diverge on convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing closely matched market-implied odds that capture this genuine forecast uncertainty just 48 hours ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international sources show Moscow's September 1 maximum likely falling in the mid-20s °C range, driven by southerly or southwesterly air advection bringing warmer conditions ahead of a seasonal transition. Differences among 23–27 °C outcomes hinge on cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms that could cap daytime peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, plus exact steering of the air mass. Historical September 1 averages near 18 °C underscore the current positive anomaly, yet short-range model runs diverge on convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, producing closely matched market-implied odds that capture this genuine forecast uncertainty just 48 hours ahead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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