Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely range from 9–16°C, with southeasterly to southerly winds limiting radiative cooling and variable cloud cover plus light rain suppressing sharp drops. Historical climatology shows an average low near 11°C, while extreme cold snaps below 5°C remain rare this late in summer absent strong northerly advection. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes captures model uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, which can shift the minimum by several degrees; traders are weighing the latest ensemble runs for resolution on these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Moscou le 30 août ?
15°C or higher 90%
5°C or below 89%
10°C 27%
11°C 27%
5°C or below
89%
6°C
15%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
90%
15°C or higher 90%
5°C or below 89%
10°C 27%
11°C 27%
5°C or below
89%
6°C
15%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and global models indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely range from 9–16°C, with southeasterly to southerly winds limiting radiative cooling and variable cloud cover plus light rain suppressing sharp drops. Historical climatology shows an average low near 11°C, while extreme cold snaps below 5°C remain rare this late in summer absent strong northerly advection. The near-even market split between 15°C-or-higher and 5°C-or-below outcomes captures model uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing, which can shift the minimum by several degrees; traders are weighing the latest ensemble runs for resolution on these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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