Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 6 projects a high in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies with only slight afternoon thunderstorm chances and light southerly flow. This places the most likely readings near 96–98 °F, consistent with the market’s leading 96–97 °F bin at 41 % implied probability. Lingering late-summer warmth has kept recent highs above the 1991–2020 September 6 average of 93.4 °F, while modest uncertainty in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture supports the secondary weight on 94–95 °F and 98–99 °F outcomes. Updated model runs and any overnight forecast adjustments from the NWS Austin/San Antonio office remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 6 septembre ?
96-97°F 42%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 22%
100-101°F 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
85°F ou moins
2%
86-87 °F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
42%
98-99 °F
18%
100-101°F
17%
102-103°F
16%
104°F ou plus
10%
96-97°F 42%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 22%
100-101°F 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
85°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
86-87 °F
$0 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
15%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
22%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
37%
96-97°F
$5 Vol.
42%
98-99 °F
$13 Vol.
18%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
17%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
16%
104°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 6 projects a high in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies with only slight afternoon thunderstorm chances and light southerly flow. This places the most likely readings near 96–98 °F, consistent with the market’s leading 96–97 °F bin at 41 % implied probability. Lingering late-summer warmth has kept recent highs above the 1991–2020 September 6 average of 93.4 °F, while modest uncertainty in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture supports the secondary weight on 94–95 °F and 98–99 °F outcomes. Updated model runs and any overnight forecast adjustments from the NWS Austin/San Antonio office remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$18Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 6 projects a high in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies with only slight afternoon thunderstorm chances and light southerly flow. This places the most likely readings near 96–98 °F, consistent with the market’s leading 96–97 °F bin at 41 % implied probability. Lingering late-summer warmth has kept recent highs above the 1991–2020 September 6 average of 93.4 °F, while modest uncertainty in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture supports the secondary weight on 94–95 °F and 98–99 °F outcomes. Updated model runs and any overnight forecast adjustments from the NWS Austin/San Antonio office remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 6 projects a high in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies with only slight afternoon thunderstorm chances and light southerly flow. This places the most likely readings near 96–98 °F, consistent with the market’s leading 96–97 °F bin at 41 % implied probability. Lingering late-summer warmth has kept recent highs above the 1991–2020 September 6 average of 93.4 °F, while modest uncertainty in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture supports the secondary weight on 94–95 °F and 98–99 °F outcomes. Updated model runs and any overnight forecast adjustments from the NWS Austin/San Antonio office remain the key near-term catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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