Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms are suppressing daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 6, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models projecting a maximum of 28–29°C under mostly overcast skies and high rain chances. This aligns with the current rainy-season pattern that reduces insolation compared to September climatological highs near 31°C. Short-range forecast consistency supports the market’s emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, though minor shifts in steering flow or convective timing could allow brief clearing and a spike toward 32°C or keep readings capped at 28°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 6 septembre ?
30°C 37%
31°C 22%
29°C 21%
28°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
14%
29°C
21%
30°C
37%
31°C
22%
32°C
7%
33°C ou plus
2%
30°C 37%
31°C 22%
29°C 21%
28°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$50 Vol.
4%
27°C
$2 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$10 Vol.
37%
31°C
$20 Vol.
22%
32°C
$0 Vol.
7%
33°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms are suppressing daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 6, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models projecting a maximum of 28–29°C under mostly overcast skies and high rain chances. This aligns with the current rainy-season pattern that reduces insolation compared to September climatological highs near 31°C. Short-range forecast consistency supports the market’s emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, though minor shifts in steering flow or convective timing could allow brief clearing and a spike toward 32°C or keep readings capped at 28°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$82Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms are suppressing daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 6, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models projecting a maximum of 28–29°C under mostly overcast skies and high rain chances. This aligns with the current rainy-season pattern that reduces insolation compared to September climatological highs near 31°C. Short-range forecast consistency supports the market’s emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, though minor shifts in steering flow or convective timing could allow brief clearing and a spike toward 32°C or keep readings capped at 28°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms are suppressing daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 6, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models projecting a maximum of 28–29°C under mostly overcast skies and high rain chances. This aligns with the current rainy-season pattern that reduces insolation compared to September climatological highs near 31°C. Short-range forecast consistency supports the market’s emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, though minor shifts in steering flow or convective timing could allow brief clearing and a spike toward 32°C or keep readings capped at 28°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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