**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a minimum temperature near 59–64°F overnight on August 24, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and a cool, dry air mass following recent northwest flow.** This setup favors strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs in the mid-70s, with Lake Michigan providing modest moderation near the shoreline. Historical August lows average around 65–66°F, so the projected values sit slightly below normal for the date. Market-implied probabilities cluster around the middle bins (e.g., 58–59°F at 32%) yet also assign notable weight to extremes (47°F or below at 41%, 66°F or higher at 35.5%), reflecting trader awareness of forecast uncertainty. Key differentiating factors include potential shifts in cloud cover, which could trap heat and raise the minimum, versus continued clear conditions or lighter winds that enhance cooling. Light east-to-southeast winds overnight may limit mixing, while any increase in humidity or lake breeze could temper the drop. New model runs or NWS updates over the next 24 hours will likely resolve the spread between these scenarios.