Northwest winds behind a recent frontal passage are advecting cooler, drier air into the Chicago area, while mostly clear skies overnight will enhance radiational cooling. National Weather Service and model guidance indicate the minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall in the upper 50s to low 60s, with several forecasts centering near 60–62°F—well below the late-August climatological average low of about 66°F. Light winds and low dew points further support efficient surface cooling, though any increase in cloud cover or wind could limit the drop. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds aligns closely with this guidance, assigning the highest probabilities to the 58–61°F bins as the dominant near-term outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chicago le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse à Chicago le 23 août ?
60-61°F 41%
68-69 °F 37%
58-59°F 33%
62-63°F 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
51°F ou moins
2%
52-53 °F
8%
54-55°F
12%
56-57°F
13%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
41%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
11%
68-69 °F
37%
70°F ou plus
4%
60-61°F 41%
68-69 °F 37%
58-59°F 33%
62-63°F 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
51°F ou moins
$6 Vol.
2%
52-53 °F
$6 Vol.
8%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
12%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
13%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
33%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
41%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
23%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
11%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
11%
68-69 °F
$20 Vol.
37%
70°F ou plus
$45 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwest winds behind a recent frontal passage are advecting cooler, drier air into the Chicago area, while mostly clear skies overnight will enhance radiational cooling. National Weather Service and model guidance indicate the minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall in the upper 50s to low 60s, with several forecasts centering near 60–62°F—well below the late-August climatological average low of about 66°F. Light winds and low dew points further support efficient surface cooling, though any increase in cloud cover or wind could limit the drop. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds aligns closely with this guidance, assigning the highest probabilities to the 58–61°F bins as the dominant near-term outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$77Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwest winds behind a recent frontal passage are advecting cooler, drier air into the Chicago area, while mostly clear skies overnight will enhance radiational cooling. National Weather Service and model guidance indicate the minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall in the upper 50s to low 60s, with several forecasts centering near 60–62°F—well below the late-August climatological average low of about 66°F. Light winds and low dew points further support efficient surface cooling, though any increase in cloud cover or wind could limit the drop. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds aligns closely with this guidance, assigning the highest probabilities to the 58–61°F bins as the dominant near-term outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northwest winds behind a recent frontal passage are advecting cooler, drier air into the Chicago area, while mostly clear skies overnight will enhance radiational cooling. National Weather Service and model guidance indicate the minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall in the upper 50s to low 60s, with several forecasts centering near 60–62°F—well below the late-August climatological average low of about 66°F. Light winds and low dew points further support efficient surface cooling, though any increase in cloud cover or wind could limit the drop. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds aligns closely with this guidance, assigning the highest probabilities to the 58–61°F bins as the dominant near-term outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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