Current forecast models indicate a September 24 minimum near 26°C in Guangzhou, driven by typical subtropical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and scattered convection limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in low-level moisture and cloud cover that could shift the overnight low by 1–3°C either direction, while historical data place the long-term average minimum at 23.4°C with occasional drops below 20°C under clearer, drier intrusions. Trader balance between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects this near-term forecast uncertainty and resolution criteria sensitivity rather than any dominant synoptic shift. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 24 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 24 septembre ?
20°C ou moins 98%
30°C ou plus 98%
25°C 40%
21°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
98%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C ou plus
98%
20°C ou moins 98%
30°C ou plus 98%
25°C 40%
21°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
98%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a September 24 minimum near 26°C in Guangzhou, driven by typical subtropical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and scattered convection limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in low-level moisture and cloud cover that could shift the overnight low by 1–3°C either direction, while historical data place the long-term average minimum at 23.4°C with occasional drops below 20°C under clearer, drier intrusions. Trader balance between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects this near-term forecast uncertainty and resolution criteria sensitivity rather than any dominant synoptic shift. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a September 24 minimum near 26°C in Guangzhou, driven by typical subtropical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and scattered convection limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in low-level moisture and cloud cover that could shift the overnight low by 1–3°C either direction, while historical data place the long-term average minimum at 23.4°C with occasional drops below 20°C under clearer, drier intrusions. Trader balance between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects this near-term forecast uncertainty and resolution criteria sensitivity rather than any dominant synoptic shift. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a September 24 minimum near 26°C in Guangzhou, driven by typical subtropical late-summer conditions with moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and scattered convection limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in low-level moisture and cloud cover that could shift the overnight low by 1–3°C either direction, while historical data place the long-term average minimum at 23.4°C with occasional drops below 20°C under clearer, drier intrusions. Trader balance between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects this near-term forecast uncertainty and resolution criteria sensitivity rather than any dominant synoptic shift. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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