Recent meteorological model consensus, including GFS and multi-model ensembles, points to an overnight low near 16°C in Istanbul on September 25 under mostly clear skies following the prior day's rain. High pressure and northeasterly winds around 10-20 km/h limit radiative cooling, while dew points near 8-10°C and moderate humidity support this range rather than sharper drops. The near-even split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects trader focus on ensemble spread and local urban effects, though official guidance shows low probability of extremes given the mild air mass and seasonal baseline. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine resolution criteria ahead of the overnight minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Istanbul le 25 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Istanbul le 25 septembre ?
16°C ou plus 98%
9°C 40%
10 °C 40%
11°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
<1%
7°C
18%
8°C
18%
9°C
40%
10 °C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
19%
16°C ou plus
98%
16°C ou plus 98%
9°C 40%
10 °C 40%
11°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$0 Vol.
18%
8°C
$0 Vol.
18%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10 °C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus, including GFS and multi-model ensembles, points to an overnight low near 16°C in Istanbul on September 25 under mostly clear skies following the prior day's rain. High pressure and northeasterly winds around 10-20 km/h limit radiative cooling, while dew points near 8-10°C and moderate humidity support this range rather than sharper drops. The near-even split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects trader focus on ensemble spread and local urban effects, though official guidance shows low probability of extremes given the mild air mass and seasonal baseline. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine resolution criteria ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus, including GFS and multi-model ensembles, points to an overnight low near 16°C in Istanbul on September 25 under mostly clear skies following the prior day's rain. High pressure and northeasterly winds around 10-20 km/h limit radiative cooling, while dew points near 8-10°C and moderate humidity support this range rather than sharper drops. The near-even split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects trader focus on ensemble spread and local urban effects, though official guidance shows low probability of extremes given the mild air mass and seasonal baseline. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine resolution criteria ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Recent meteorological model consensus, including GFS and multi-model ensembles, points to an overnight low near 16°C in Istanbul on September 25 under mostly clear skies following the prior day's rain. High pressure and northeasterly winds around 10-20 km/h limit radiative cooling, while dew points near 8-10°C and moderate humidity support this range rather than sharper drops. The near-even split between sub-7°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects trader focus on ensemble spread and local urban effects, though official guidance shows low probability of extremes given the mild air mass and seasonal baseline. Updated forecasts from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine resolution criteria ahead of the overnight minimum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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