Ongoing southwest monsoon activity over Luzon, combined with scattered rainshowers and high humidity, is the main driver behind the near-even market split between a 21°C-or-below minimum and 31°C-or-higher minimum for Manila on August 25. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows closer to the seasonal 25°C baseline observed by PAGASA, while any brief clearing could allow greater heat loss and lower readings. Distant tropical systems east of the Philippines add steering-pattern uncertainty that could shift moisture transport or wind fields within the next 48 hours. Forecasters note that model consensus remains moderate, with temperature outcomes sensitive to exact timing of convective bursts and surface wind changes through the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 25 août ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 25 août ?
21°C ou moins 95%
31°C ou plus 95%
28°C 50%
29°C 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
21°C ou moins
95%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
50%
29°C
50%
30°C
2%
31°C ou plus
95%
21°C ou moins 95%
31°C ou plus 95%
28°C 50%
29°C 50%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
21°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
95%
22°C
$5 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$5 Vol.
50%
29°C
$5 Vol.
50%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon activity over Luzon, combined with scattered rainshowers and high humidity, is the main driver behind the near-even market split between a 21°C-or-below minimum and 31°C-or-higher minimum for Manila on August 25. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows closer to the seasonal 25°C baseline observed by PAGASA, while any brief clearing could allow greater heat loss and lower readings. Distant tropical systems east of the Philippines add steering-pattern uncertainty that could shift moisture transport or wind fields within the next 48 hours. Forecasters note that model consensus remains moderate, with temperature outcomes sensitive to exact timing of convective bursts and surface wind changes through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$30Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon activity over Luzon, combined with scattered rainshowers and high humidity, is the main driver behind the near-even market split between a 21°C-or-below minimum and 31°C-or-higher minimum for Manila on August 25. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows closer to the seasonal 25°C baseline observed by PAGASA, while any brief clearing could allow greater heat loss and lower readings. Distant tropical systems east of the Philippines add steering-pattern uncertainty that could shift moisture transport or wind fields within the next 48 hours. Forecasters note that model consensus remains moderate, with temperature outcomes sensitive to exact timing of convective bursts and surface wind changes through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon activity over Luzon, combined with scattered rainshowers and high humidity, is the main driver behind the near-even market split between a 21°C-or-below minimum and 31°C-or-higher minimum for Manila on August 25. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows closer to the seasonal 25°C baseline observed by PAGASA, while any brief clearing could allow greater heat loss and lower readings. Distant tropical systems east of the Philippines add steering-pattern uncertainty that could shift moisture transport or wind fields within the next 48 hours. Forecasters note that model consensus remains moderate, with temperature outcomes sensitive to exact timing of convective bursts and surface wind changes through the resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes