Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 50-51°F in New York City on April 28, driven by finalized observations from the LaGuardia Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—which recorded the minimum in that precise range. Mild southerly flow and urban heat retention under partly cloudy skies overnight prevented sharper cooling, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus from the prior day forecasting lows near 50°F amid a broader warm spring pattern. Late April climatology supports this, with historical Central Park analogs averaging 48°F lows. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data audits could prompt revisions; otherwise, resolution appears certain.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 28 avril ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 28 avril ?
50-51°F 100.0%
52-53°F 1.0%
39°F ou moins <1%
40-41°F <1%
$28,173 Vol.
$28,173 Vol.
28 avr. 2026
39°F ou moins
Non
40-41°F
Non
42-43°F
Non
44-45°F
Non
46-47°F
Non
48-49 °F
Non
50-51°F
Oui
52-53°F
Non
54-55°F
Non
56-57°F
Non
58°F ou plus
Non
50-51°F 100.0%
52-53°F 1.0%
39°F ou moins <1%
40-41°F <1%
$28,173 Vol.
$28,173 Vol.
28 avr. 2026
39°F ou moins
$1,194 Vol.
Non
40-41°F
$905 Vol.
Non
42-43°F
$1,585 Vol.
Non
44-45°F
$1,773 Vol.
Non
46-47°F
$8,679 Vol.
Non
48-49 °F
$1,704 Vol.
Non
50-51°F
$3,217 Vol.
Oui
52-53°F
$2,483 Vol.
Non
54-55°F
$988 Vol.
Non
56-57°F
$508 Vol.
Non
58°F ou plus
$5,137 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 50-51°F in New York City on April 28, driven by finalized observations from the LaGuardia Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—which recorded the minimum in that precise range. Mild southerly flow and urban heat retention under partly cloudy skies overnight prevented sharper cooling, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus from the prior day forecasting lows near 50°F amid a broader warm spring pattern. Late April climatology supports this, with historical Central Park analogs averaging 48°F lows. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data audits could prompt revisions; otherwise, resolution appears certain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$28,173Date de fin
28 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 50-51°F in New York City on April 28, driven by finalized observations from the LaGuardia Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—which recorded the minimum in that precise range. Mild southerly flow and urban heat retention under partly cloudy skies overnight prevented sharper cooling, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus from the prior day forecasting lows near 50°F amid a broader warm spring pattern. Late April climatology supports this, with historical Central Park analogs averaging 48°F lows. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data audits could prompt revisions; otherwise, resolution appears certain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,173Date de fin
28 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 50-51°F in New York City on April 28, driven by finalized observations from the LaGuardia Airport station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground data—which recorded the minimum in that precise range. Mild southerly flow and urban heat retention under partly cloudy skies overnight prevented sharper cooling, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus from the prior day forecasting lows near 50°F amid a broader warm spring pattern. Late April climatology supports this, with historical Central Park analogs averaging 48°F lows. Realistic challenges are minimal post-finalization, though rare data audits could prompt revisions; otherwise, resolution appears certain.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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