Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 10°C in Seoul on April 15 (93.8% implied probability), driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest hourly forecasts for the resolving station at Incheon International Airport, projecting a minimum of 11°C around 5-6 AM under persistent clear skies and light southerly winds from a stable high-pressure system. This positioning reflects unseasonably warm recent days—Seoul hit 26°C on April 14 amid an ongoing April heat anomaly—allowing radiative cooling overnight without precipitation, consistent with aviation meteorological data showing early morning temps at 11-12°C. Model consensus from KMA short-range guidance supports minimal deviation, though realistic challenges include unexpected low cloud formation or a sudden wind shift, potentially dropping the low to 9°C or raising it above 10°C; real-time observations will confirm by midday.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Séoul le 15 avril ?
La température la plus basse à Séoul le 15 avril ?
10°C 94.2%
9°C 6.3%
8°C ou moins <1%
NOUVEAU
$78,325 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$78,325 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
8°C ou moins
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
94%
10°C 94.2%
9°C 6.3%
8°C ou moins <1%
NOUVEAU
$78,325 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$78,325 Vol.
16 avr. 2026
8°C ou moins
$4,395 Vol.
1%
9°C
$4,013 Vol.
6%
10°C
$6,713 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 10°C in Seoul on April 15 (93.8% implied probability), driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest hourly forecasts for the resolving station at Incheon International Airport, projecting a minimum of 11°C around 5-6 AM under persistent clear skies and light southerly winds from a stable high-pressure system. This positioning reflects unseasonably warm recent days—Seoul hit 26°C on April 14 amid an ongoing April heat anomaly—allowing radiative cooling overnight without precipitation, consistent with aviation meteorological data showing early morning temps at 11-12°C. Model consensus from KMA short-range guidance supports minimal deviation, though realistic challenges include unexpected low cloud formation or a sudden wind shift, potentially dropping the low to 9°C or raising it above 10°C; real-time observations will confirm by midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
Volume
$78,325Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 10°C in Seoul on April 15 (93.8% implied probability), driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest hourly forecasts for the resolving station at Incheon International Airport, projecting a minimum of 11°C around 5-6 AM under persistent clear skies and light southerly winds from a stable high-pressure system. This positioning reflects unseasonably warm recent days—Seoul hit 26°C on April 14 amid an ongoing April heat anomaly—allowing radiative cooling overnight without precipitation, consistent with aviation meteorological data showing early morning temps at 11-12°C. Model consensus from KMA short-range guidance supports minimal deviation, though realistic challenges include unexpected low cloud formation or a sudden wind shift, potentially dropping the low to 9°C or raising it above 10°C; real-time observations will confirm by midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$78,325Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a lowest temperature of 10°C in Seoul on April 15 (93.8% implied probability), driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest hourly forecasts for the resolving station at Incheon International Airport, projecting a minimum of 11°C around 5-6 AM under persistent clear skies and light southerly winds from a stable high-pressure system. This positioning reflects unseasonably warm recent days—Seoul hit 26°C on April 14 amid an ongoing April heat anomaly—allowing radiative cooling overnight without precipitation, consistent with aviation meteorological data showing early morning temps at 11-12°C. Model consensus from KMA short-range guidance supports minimal deviation, though realistic challenges include unexpected low cloud formation or a sudden wind shift, potentially dropping the low to 9°C or raising it above 10°C; real-time observations will confirm by midday.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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