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icon for Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place

icon for Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place

Capitão Contar 38%

Roberto Oshiro 28%

Vander Loubet 28%

Reinaldo Azambuja 26%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Capitão Contar 38%

Roberto Oshiro 28%

Vander Loubet 28%

Reinaldo Azambuja 26%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Capitão Contar

Capitão Contar

$140 Vol.

22%

icon for Roberto Oshiro

Roberto Oshiro

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Vander Loubet

Vander Loubet

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Reinaldo Azambuja

Reinaldo Azambuja

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Soraya

Soraya

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Daniel Junior

Daniel Junior

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Beto do Movimento

Beto do Movimento

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Valter da Comagran

Valter da Comagran

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Luiz Lemes

Luiz Lemes

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Valderi Garcia

Valderi Garcia

$0 Vol.

23%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August 2026 polls for Mato Grosso do Sul’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field with Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) leading first-place intentions while Capitão Contar (PL), Nelsinho Trad (PSD), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya Thronicke (PSB) cluster closely behind for the remaining position. With candidacy registrations now closed, the second seat remains open due to intra-PL competition, variable voter consolidation across center-right and opposition blocs, and limited name recognition for several contenders. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, assigning elevated probabilities across multiple names until clearer polling trends or campaign momentum separate the field ahead of the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$140
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August 2026 polls for Mato Grosso do Sul’s two Senate seats show a fragmented field with Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) leading first-place intentions while Capitão Contar (PL), Nelsinho Trad (PSD), Vander Loubet (PT), and Soraya Thronicke (PSB) cluster closely behind for the remaining position. With candidacy registrations now closed, the second seat remains open due to intra-PL competition, variable voter consolidation across center-right and opposition blocs, and limited name recognition for several contenders. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, assigning elevated probabilities across multiple names until clearer polling trends or campaign momentum separate the field ahead of the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$140
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Jose Medeiros obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

Jose Medeiros obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

27%
Oui
icon for Reinaldo Azambuja remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso do Sul ?

Reinaldo Azambuja remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso do Sul ?

69%
Oui
icon for Mauro Mendes remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

Mauro Mendes remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

64%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Roberto Oshiro » à 28%, suivi de « Vander Loubet » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 28¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 28% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place » est « Roberto Oshiro » à 28%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 28% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Vander Loubet » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Mato Grosso do Sul Élection au Sénat : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.