Mauro Mendes (União Brasil), the former Mato Grosso governor who resigned in March 2026 to seek a Senate seat, leads trader consensus for first place due to strong name recognition and consistent poll advantages in a contest for the state's two open seats. Recent surveys, including a mid-August Real Time Big Data poll, place him ahead or tied near the top in consolidated first- and second-preference voting, supported by his record on state economic issues and party infrastructure in the agribusiness-heavy electorate. Other contenders such as Janaína Riva, Carlos Fávaro, José Medeiros, and Margareth Buzetti trail in both polling and market pricing, reflecting lower visibility and weaker momentum in the final months before the October vote. No major late developments have shifted the frontrunner positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBeny Godoy 45%
Mauro Mendes 44%
Colonel Darwin 43%
Margareth Buzetti 27%

Beny Godoy
45%

Mauro Mendes
44%

Colonel Darwin
43%

Margareth Buzetti
27%

Fávaro
25%

Pedro Taques
25%

Janaina Riva
24%

Galvan
23%

Jose Medeiros
23%

Professeur Nelson Ferreira
20%
Beny Godoy 45%
Mauro Mendes 44%
Colonel Darwin 43%
Margareth Buzetti 27%

Beny Godoy
45%

Mauro Mendes
44%

Colonel Darwin
43%

Margareth Buzetti
27%

Fávaro
25%

Pedro Taques
25%

Janaina Riva
24%

Galvan
23%

Jose Medeiros
23%

Professeur Nelson Ferreira
20%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mauro Mendes (União Brasil), the former Mato Grosso governor who resigned in March 2026 to seek a Senate seat, leads trader consensus for first place due to strong name recognition and consistent poll advantages in a contest for the state's two open seats. Recent surveys, including a mid-August Real Time Big Data poll, place him ahead or tied near the top in consolidated first- and second-preference voting, supported by his record on state economic issues and party infrastructure in the agribusiness-heavy electorate. Other contenders such as Janaína Riva, Carlos Fávaro, José Medeiros, and Margareth Buzetti trail in both polling and market pricing, reflecting lower visibility and weaker momentum in the final months before the October vote. No major late developments have shifted the frontrunner positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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