Ongoing military confrontation between Israel and Iran, including recent Israeli strikes on Iranian infrastructure and nuclear-related sites plus Iranian missile activity and threats over the Strait of Hormuz, has eliminated any apparent diplomatic pathway for a bilateral meeting between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and President Masoud Pezeshkian before September 30. Netanyahu has publicly framed regime change in Tehran as a core objective, while Pezeshkian prepares to address the UN General Assembly amid stalled talks and renewed sanctions pressure. Trader consensus reflected in the 98% probability for no meeting aligns with the absence of scheduled engagements or normalization signals. A last-minute backchannel development at the UNGA or abrupt de-escalation could theoretically shift the outcome, though no such indicators have emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
2% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
Oui
2% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Masoud Pezeshkian between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military confrontation between Israel and Iran, including recent Israeli strikes on Iranian infrastructure and nuclear-related sites plus Iranian missile activity and threats over the Strait of Hormuz, has eliminated any apparent diplomatic pathway for a bilateral meeting between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and President Masoud Pezeshkian before September 30. Netanyahu has publicly framed regime change in Tehran as a core objective, while Pezeshkian prepares to address the UN General Assembly amid stalled talks and renewed sanctions pressure. Trader consensus reflected in the 98% probability for no meeting aligns with the absence of scheduled engagements or normalization signals. A last-minute backchannel development at the UNGA or abrupt de-escalation could theoretically shift the outcome, though no such indicators have emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Masoud Pezeshkian between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 10:53 AM ET
Volume
$1,101Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 10:53 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Masoud Pezeshkian between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military confrontation between Israel and Iran, including recent Israeli strikes on Iranian infrastructure and nuclear-related sites plus Iranian missile activity and threats over the Strait of Hormuz, has eliminated any apparent diplomatic pathway for a bilateral meeting between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and President Masoud Pezeshkian before September 30. Netanyahu has publicly framed regime change in Tehran as a core objective, while Pezeshkian prepares to address the UN General Assembly amid stalled talks and renewed sanctions pressure. Trader consensus reflected in the 98% probability for no meeting aligns with the absence of scheduled engagements or normalization signals. A last-minute backchannel development at the UNGA or abrupt de-escalation could theoretically shift the outcome, though no such indicators have emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Masoud Pezeshkian between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,101Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 10:53 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military confrontation between Israel and Iran, including recent Israeli strikes on Iranian infrastructure and nuclear-related sites plus Iranian missile activity and threats over the Strait of Hormuz, has eliminated any apparent diplomatic pathway for a bilateral meeting between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and President Masoud Pezeshkian before September 30. Netanyahu has publicly framed regime change in Tehran as a core objective, while Pezeshkian prepares to address the UN General Assembly amid stalled talks and renewed sanctions pressure. Trader consensus reflected in the 98% probability for no meeting aligns with the absence of scheduled engagements or normalization signals. A last-minute backchannel development at the UNGA or abrupt de-escalation could theoretically shift the outcome, though no such indicators have emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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