**Trump's administration has already advanced AI policy through multiple executive orders emphasizing voluntary industry collaboration on cybersecurity rather than mandatory restrictions.** The June 2, 2026, Executive Order 14409 established a voluntary 30-day government review window for designated "covered frontier models" focused on cyber risks, while explicitly rejecting licensing or pre-clearance requirements and prioritizing enforcement against criminal AI misuse. Earlier actions in 2025 revoked prior regulatory frameworks and targeted inconsistent state laws to promote a uniform national approach favoring innovation. As of mid-September 2026, President Trump has publicly rejected calls from AI executives for new limits, stressing existing criminal and regulatory tools plus leadership as sufficient guardrails, and announced plans for an "AI Force" and czar without slowing development. Trader consensus on further restriction-focused orders by near-term deadlines reflects the administration's consistent preference for accelerating U.S. AI leadership over prescriptive rules, tempered by national security concerns and industry input. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to shift this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
30 septembre
3%
31 octobre
12%
31 décembre
14%
$1,625 Vol.
30 septembre
$850 Vol.
3%
31 octobre
$534 Vol.
12%
31 décembre
$241 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trump's administration has already advanced AI policy through multiple executive orders emphasizing voluntary industry collaboration on cybersecurity rather than mandatory restrictions.** The June 2, 2026, Executive Order 14409 established a voluntary 30-day government review window for designated "covered frontier models" focused on cyber risks, while explicitly rejecting licensing or pre-clearance requirements and prioritizing enforcement against criminal AI misuse. Earlier actions in 2025 revoked prior regulatory frameworks and targeted inconsistent state laws to promote a uniform national approach favoring innovation.
As of mid-September 2026, President Trump has publicly rejected calls from AI executives for new limits, stressing existing criminal and regulatory tools plus leadership as sufficient guardrails, and announced plans for an "AI Force" and czar without slowing development. Trader consensus on further restriction-focused orders by near-term deadlines reflects the administration's consistent preference for accelerating U.S. AI leadership over prescriptive rules, tempered by national security concerns and industry input. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to shift this positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,625Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trump's administration has already advanced AI policy through multiple executive orders emphasizing voluntary industry collaboration on cybersecurity rather than mandatory restrictions.** The June 2, 2026, Executive Order 14409 established a voluntary 30-day government review window for designated "covered frontier models" focused on cyber risks, while explicitly rejecting licensing or pre-clearance requirements and prioritizing enforcement against criminal AI misuse. Earlier actions in 2025 revoked prior regulatory frameworks and targeted inconsistent state laws to promote a uniform national approach favoring innovation.
As of mid-September 2026, President Trump has publicly rejected calls from AI executives for new limits, stressing existing criminal and regulatory tools plus leadership as sufficient guardrails, and announced plans for an "AI Force" and czar without slowing development. Trader consensus on further restriction-focused orders by near-term deadlines reflects the administration's consistent preference for accelerating U.S. AI leadership over prescriptive rules, tempered by national security concerns and industry input. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to shift this positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,625Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**Trump's administration has already advanced AI policy through multiple executive orders emphasizing voluntary industry collaboration on cybersecurity rather than mandatory restrictions.** The June 2, 2026, Executive Order 14409 established a voluntary 30-day government review window for designated "covered frontier models" focused on cyber risks, while explicitly rejecting licensing or pre-clearance requirements and prioritizing enforcement against criminal AI misuse. Earlier actions in 2025 revoked prior regulatory frameworks and targeted inconsistent state laws to promote a uniform national approach favoring innovation. As of mid-September 2026, President Trump has publicly rejected calls from AI executives for new limits, stressing existing criminal and regulatory tools plus leadership as sufficient guardrails, and announced plans for an "AI Force" and czar without slowing development. Trader consensus on further restriction-focused orders by near-term deadlines reflects the administration's consistent preference for accelerating U.S. AI leadership over prescriptive rules, tempered by national security concerns and industry input. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to shift this positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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