Google's release of Gemini 3.1 Pro in preview on February 19, 2026, established the current baseline for its Pro series, with strong benchmark results in reasoning and multimodal tasks positioning it competitively against frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic. Trader sentiment now centers on the anticipated Gemini 3.5 Pro rollout, following the May 2026 Google I/O launch of the 3.5 Flash variant and related agentic capabilities, which signal an accelerated cadence toward deeper reasoning and tool-use improvements. Historical patterns show major Pro updates every 4–8 months, while competitive pressure from rapid model iterations elsewhere and internal infrastructure scaling add uncertainty around exact timing. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer conference announcements or stable GA transitions that could shift implied probabilities for late-2026 releases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$484,011 Vol.
21 août 2026
7 août
6%
14 août
74%
21 août
85%
31 août
91%
$484,011 Vol.
7 août
$80,767 Vol.
6%
14 août
$47,305 Vol.
74%
21 août
$31,968 Vol.
85%
31 août
$37,214 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's release of Gemini 3.1 Pro in preview on February 19, 2026, established the current baseline for its Pro series, with strong benchmark results in reasoning and multimodal tasks positioning it competitively against frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic. Trader sentiment now centers on the anticipated Gemini 3.5 Pro rollout, following the May 2026 Google I/O launch of the 3.5 Flash variant and related agentic capabilities, which signal an accelerated cadence toward deeper reasoning and tool-use improvements. Historical patterns show major Pro updates every 4–8 months, while competitive pressure from rapid model iterations elsewhere and internal infrastructure scaling add uncertainty around exact timing. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer conference announcements or stable GA transitions that could shift implied probabilities for late-2026 releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Volume
$484,011Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's release of Gemini 3.1 Pro in preview on February 19, 2026, established the current baseline for its Pro series, with strong benchmark results in reasoning and multimodal tasks positioning it competitively against frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic. Trader sentiment now centers on the anticipated Gemini 3.5 Pro rollout, following the May 2026 Google I/O launch of the 3.5 Flash variant and related agentic capabilities, which signal an accelerated cadence toward deeper reasoning and tool-use improvements. Historical patterns show major Pro updates every 4–8 months, while competitive pressure from rapid model iterations elsewhere and internal infrastructure scaling add uncertainty around exact timing. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer conference announcements or stable GA transitions that could shift implied probabilities for late-2026 releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$484,011Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 29, 2026, 1:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's release of Gemini 3.1 Pro in preview on February 19, 2026, established the current baseline for its Pro series, with strong benchmark results in reasoning and multimodal tasks positioning it competitively against frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic. Trader sentiment now centers on the anticipated Gemini 3.5 Pro rollout, following the May 2026 Google I/O launch of the 3.5 Flash variant and related agentic capabilities, which signal an accelerated cadence toward deeper reasoning and tool-use improvements. Historical patterns show major Pro updates every 4–8 months, while competitive pressure from rapid model iterations elsewhere and internal infrastructure scaling add uncertainty around exact timing. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer conference announcements or stable GA transitions that could shift implied probabilities for late-2026 releases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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