Market icon
Politique·TSA

Number of TSA Passengers April 5?

Market icon
Politique·TSA

Number of TSA Passengers April 5?

avr. 3

avr. 4

avr. 5

avr. 6

avr. 3

avr. 4

avr. 5

avr. 6

2.6M-2.8M 51%

2.8M-3.0M 50%

3.0M-3.2M 50%

3.2M-3.4M 50%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

2.6M-2.8M 51%

2.8M-3.0M 50%

3.0M-3.2M 50%

3.2M-3.4M 50%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<2.6M

$0 Vol.

50%

2.6M-2.8M

$0 Vol.

51%

2.8M-3.0M

$0 Vol.

50%

3.0M-3.2M

$0 Vol.

50%

3.2M-3.4M

$0 Vol.

50%

>3.4M

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 5, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty for TSA checkpoint passenger throughput on Easter Sunday, April 5, with all bins from under 2.6 million to over 3.4 million priced evenly at 50%, amid record spring travel projections of 171 million passengers March through April—averaging near 2.8 million daily. Recent screenings show volatility: 2.71 million on April 2, 2.36 million on April 1, and 2.15 million on March 31, driven by spring break peaks like March 29's 2.76 million offset by midweek dips. Easter holiday surges historically push volumes higher, but TSA staffing shortages and potential weather disruptions cap upside, while strong last-minute bookings or clear skies could separate higher bins above 3 million.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 5, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 5, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 5, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus reflects tight uncertainty for TSA checkpoint passenger throughput on Easter Sunday, April 5, with all bins from under 2.6 million to over 3.4 million priced evenly at 50%, amid record spring travel projections of 171 million passengers March through April—averaging near 2.8 million daily. Recent screenings show volatility: 2.71 million on April 2, 2.36 million on April 1, and 2.15 million on March 31, driven by spring break peaks like March 29's 2.76 million offset by midweek dips. Easter holiday surges historically push volumes higher, but TSA staffing shortages and potential weather disruptions cap upside, while strong last-minute bookings or clear skies could separate higher bins above 3 million.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 5, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
5 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 5, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Number of TSA Passengers April 5? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 2.6M-2.8M » à 51%, suivi de « <2.6M » à 50%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 51¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 51% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Number of TSA Passengers April 5? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Number of TSA Passengers April 5? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Number of TSA Passengers April 5? » est « 2.6M-2.8M » à 51%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 51% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « <2.6M » à 50%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Number of TSA Passengers April 5? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.