Market icon
Politique·Aéroport

Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?

Market icon
Politique·Aéroport

Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

0% chance
Polymarket

$736 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$736 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader sentiment on US flight cancellations exceeding 450 on March 27 remains tightly balanced, with "No" holding a slim 50.6% implied probability amid low morning cancellation tallies reported by FlightAware and FAA data—currently under 200 nationwide as of midday. This edge for "No" stems from clear skies dominating most major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas, following a quiet week without widespread disruptions from mechanical issues or air traffic control alerts. Balancing the scales is potential for late-day upticks from forecasted thunderstorms in the Northeast and Midwest, which could spike delays turning into cancellations at airports like JFK, ORD, and EWR. A surge in verified cancellations above 250 by evening or unexpected FAA ground stops could flip odds toward "Yes," while sustained benign weather would solidify "No." Resolution awaits official DOT daily totals post-midnight.

Trader sentiment on US flight cancellations exceeding 450 on March 27 remains tightly balanced, with "No" holding a slim 50.6% implied probability amid low morning cancellation tallies reported by FlightAware and FAA data—currently under 200 nationwide as of midday. This edge for "No" stems from clear skies dominating most major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas, following a quiet week without widespread disruptions from mechanical issues or air traffic control alerts. Balancing the scales is potential for late-day upticks from forecasted thunderstorms in the Northeast and Midwest, which could spike delays turning into cancellations at airports like JFK, ORD, and EWR. A surge in verified cancellations above 250 by evening or unexpected FAA ground stops could flip odds toward "Yes," while sustained benign weather would solidify "No." Resolution awaits official DOT daily totals post-midnight.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader sentiment on US flight cancellations exceeding 450 on March 27 remains tightly balanced, with "No" holding a slim 50.6% implied probability amid low morning cancellation tallies reported by FlightAware and FAA data—currently under 200 nationwide as of midday. This edge for "No" stems from clear skies dominating most major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas, following a quiet week without widespread disruptions from mechanical issues or air traffic control alerts. Balancing the scales is potential for late-day upticks from forecasted thunderstorms in the Northeast and Midwest, which could spike delays turning into cancellations at airports like JFK, ORD, and EWR. A surge in verified cancellations above 250 by evening or unexpected FAA ground stops could flip odds toward "Yes," while sustained benign weather would solidify "No." Resolution awaits official DOT daily totals post-midnight.

Trader sentiment on US flight cancellations exceeding 450 on March 27 remains tightly balanced, with "No" holding a slim 50.6% implied probability amid low morning cancellation tallies reported by FlightAware and FAA data—currently under 200 nationwide as of midday. This edge for "No" stems from clear skies dominating most major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas, following a quiet week without widespread disruptions from mechanical issues or air traffic control alerts. Balancing the scales is potential for late-day upticks from forecasted thunderstorms in the Northeast and Midwest, which could spike delays turning into cancellations at airports like JFK, ORD, and EWR. A surge in verified cancellations above 250 by evening or unexpected FAA ground stops could flip odds toward "Yes," while sustained benign weather would solidify "No." Resolution awaits official DOT daily totals post-midnight.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 48% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 48¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 48% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 26, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27? » est de 48% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 48% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.