**Strong pre-release tracking from multiple industry forecasters has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the $9.5–11 million range for Passenger’s four-day Memorial Day opening.** Comparable late-May horror titles such as The Last Voyage of the Demeter and The Boogeyman, combined with Paramount’s marketing push for the André Øvredal-directed supernatural thriller, pointed to mid-single-digit to low-double-digit results in a crowded frame. Heavy counterprogramming from Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu and fellow genre releases like Obsession has capped upside potential while establishing a clear floor, keeping the market-implied odds locked on this narrow band. Any meaningful departure would require either stronger-than-expected word-of-mouth or an unusually soft performance from the weekend’s bigger titles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Passenger" Opening 4-Day Weekend Box Office
"Passenger" Opening 4-Day Weekend Box Office
9.5-11m 100.0%
<8m <1%
8-9.5m <1%
11-12.5m <1%
$57,893 Vol.
$57,893 Vol.
26 mai 2026
<8m
No
8-9.5m
No
9.5-11m
Yes
11-12.5m
No
>12.5m
No
9.5-11m 100.0%
<8m <1%
8-9.5m <1%
11-12.5m <1%
$57,893 Vol.
$57,893 Vol.
26 mai 2026
<8m
$9,064 Vol.
No
8-9.5m
$18,753 Vol.
No
9.5-11m
$11,541 Vol.
Yes
11-12.5m
$13,213 Vol.
No
>12.5m
$5,323 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to how much "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 22 - May 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong pre-release tracking from multiple industry forecasters has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the $9.5–11 million range for Passenger’s four-day Memorial Day opening.** Comparable late-May horror titles such as The Last Voyage of the Demeter and The Boogeyman, combined with Paramount’s marketing push for the André Øvredal-directed supernatural thriller, pointed to mid-single-digit to low-double-digit results in a crowded frame. Heavy counterprogramming from Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu and fellow genre releases like Obsession has capped upside potential while establishing a clear floor, keeping the market-implied odds locked on this narrow band. Any meaningful departure would require either stronger-than-expected word-of-mouth or an unusually soft performance from the weekend’s bigger titles.
This market will resolve according to how much "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 22 - May 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$57,893Date de fin
26 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve according to how much "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 22 - May 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong pre-release tracking from multiple industry forecasters has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the $9.5–11 million range for Passenger’s four-day Memorial Day opening.** Comparable late-May horror titles such as The Last Voyage of the Demeter and The Boogeyman, combined with Paramount’s marketing push for the André Øvredal-directed supernatural thriller, pointed to mid-single-digit to low-double-digit results in a crowded frame. Heavy counterprogramming from Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu and fellow genre releases like Obsession has capped upside potential while establishing a clear floor, keeping the market-implied odds locked on this narrow band. Any meaningful departure would require either stronger-than-expected word-of-mouth or an unusually soft performance from the weekend’s bigger titles.
This market will resolve according to how much "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 22 - May 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$57,893Date de fin
26 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
**Strong pre-release tracking from multiple industry forecasters has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the $9.5–11 million range for Passenger’s four-day Memorial Day opening.** Comparable late-May horror titles such as The Last Voyage of the Demeter and The Boogeyman, combined with Paramount’s marketing push for the André Øvredal-directed supernatural thriller, pointed to mid-single-digit to low-double-digit results in a crowded frame. Heavy counterprogramming from Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu and fellow genre releases like Obsession has capped upside potential while establishing a clear floor, keeping the market-implied odds locked on this narrow band. Any meaningful departure would require either stronger-than-expected word-of-mouth or an unusually soft performance from the weekend’s bigger titles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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