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icon for Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place

Eduardo da Fonte 25%

Paulo Rubem Santiago 25%

Túlio Gadêlha 25%

Mendonça Filho 24%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Eduardo da Fonte 25%

Paulo Rubem Santiago 25%

Túlio Gadêlha 25%

Mendonça Filho 24%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Pasteur Gilvan Costa

Pasteur Gilvan Costa

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$0 Vol.

21%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive for second place due to a fragmented field of 12 candidates, with Marília Arraes frequently leading polls while several others cluster closely behind in the teens and low 20s. Recent candidate registrations finalized in early August 2026, alongside alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra and party shifts such as Túlio Gadêlha’s PSD move, have sustained dispersion in voter intentions across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and others. No single contender has consolidated the remaining vote share after the likely first-place finisher, leaving outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, regional strongholds in Recife versus the interior, and last-minute campaign momentum before October. This structure keeps implied probabilities elevated and clustered for multiple names.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive for second place due to a fragmented field of 12 candidates, with Marília Arraes frequently leading polls while several others cluster closely behind in the teens and low 20s. Recent candidate registrations finalized in early August 2026, alongside alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra and party shifts such as Túlio Gadêlha’s PSD move, have sustained dispersion in voter intentions across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and others. No single contender has consolidated the remaining vote share after the likely first-place finisher, leaving outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, regional strongholds in Recife versus the interior, and last-minute campaign momentum before October. This structure keeps implied probabilities elevated and clustered for multiple names.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

76%
icon for Nabor remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba de 2026 ?

Nabor remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba de 2026 ?

26%
Oui
icon for Leila do Vôlei remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District Fédéral en 2026 ?

Leila do Vôlei remportera-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District Fédéral en 2026 ?

40%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Eduardo da Fonte » à 25%, suivi de « Paulo Rubem Santiago » à 25%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 25¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 25% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » est « Eduardo da Fonte » à 25%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 25% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Paulo Rubem Santiago » à 25%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat du Pernambouc : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.