Fuerza Popular (FP) commands 99.5% trader consensus as the projected winner of Peru's 130-seat Chamber of Deputies following the April 12-13 general election, restoring bicameral Congress under proportional representation across 27 circumscriptions. Partial ONPE results at 85% of actas counted show competitive national vote shares—RP leading at 18.6%, FP third at 14.3%—but exit polls from Datum and Ipsos project FP securing 40+ seats, the largest bloc, fueled by voter backlash against soaring crime (extortion up 1,000%) and corruption favoring its security-focused platform, reinforced by Keiko Fujimori's presidential first-round lead. Scenarios to upend this include dramatic shifts in the remaining 15% escrutinio, fraud claims by rivals like Renovación Popular prompting JNE recounts, or legal challenges delaying certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des députés du Pérou
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des députés du Pérou
FP 99.4%
JP <1%
RP <1%
PL <1%
$138,494 Vol.
$138,494 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
FP
99%
JP
1%
RP
<1%
PL
<1%
APP
<1%
SP
<1%
PP
<1%
AP
<1%
AvP
<1%
FP 99.4%
JP <1%
RP <1%
PL <1%
$138,494 Vol.
$138,494 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
FP
$59,629 Vol.
99%
JP
$21,619 Vol.
1%
RP
$20,263 Vol.
<1%
PL
$2,175 Vol.
<1%
APP
$11,088 Vol.
<1%
SP
$6,644 Vol.
<1%
PP
$3,531 Vol.
<1%
AP
$10,048 Vol.
<1%
AvP
$3,496 Vol.
<1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Fuerza Popular (FP) commands 99.5% trader consensus as the projected winner of Peru's 130-seat Chamber of Deputies following the April 12-13 general election, restoring bicameral Congress under proportional representation across 27 circumscriptions. Partial ONPE results at 85% of actas counted show competitive national vote shares—RP leading at 18.6%, FP third at 14.3%—but exit polls from Datum and Ipsos project FP securing 40+ seats, the largest bloc, fueled by voter backlash against soaring crime (extortion up 1,000%) and corruption favoring its security-focused platform, reinforced by Keiko Fujimori's presidential first-round lead. Scenarios to upend this include dramatic shifts in the remaining 15% escrutinio, fraud claims by rivals like Renovación Popular prompting JNE recounts, or legal challenges delaying certification.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Volume
$138,494Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Fuerza Popular (FP) commands 99.5% trader consensus as the projected winner of Peru's 130-seat Chamber of Deputies following the April 12-13 general election, restoring bicameral Congress under proportional representation across 27 circumscriptions. Partial ONPE results at 85% of actas counted show competitive national vote shares—RP leading at 18.6%, FP third at 14.3%—but exit polls from Datum and Ipsos project FP securing 40+ seats, the largest bloc, fueled by voter backlash against soaring crime (extortion up 1,000%) and corruption favoring its security-focused platform, reinforced by Keiko Fujimori's presidential first-round lead. Scenarios to upend this include dramatic shifts in the remaining 15% escrutinio, fraud claims by rivals like Renovación Popular prompting JNE recounts, or legal challenges delaying certification.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$138,494Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Fuerza Popular (FP) commands 99.5% trader consensus as the projected winner of Peru's 130-seat Chamber of Deputies following the April 12-13 general election, restoring bicameral Congress under proportional representation across 27 circumscriptions. Partial ONPE results at 85% of actas counted show competitive national vote shares—RP leading at 18.6%, FP third at 14.3%—but exit polls from Datum and Ipsos project FP securing 40+ seats, the largest bloc, fueled by voter backlash against soaring crime (extortion up 1,000%) and corruption favoring its security-focused platform, reinforced by Keiko Fujimori's presidential first-round lead. Scenarios to upend this include dramatic shifts in the remaining 15% escrutinio, fraud claims by rivals like Renovación Popular prompting JNE recounts, or legal challenges delaying certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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