The closely contested June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, following a fragmented first round with 73.81% turnout, anchors trader expectations for second-round participation near historical runoff levels. Compulsory voting with fines continues to support baseline engagement among Peru's 27.3 million eligible voters, while the simpler presidential ballot reduces logistical barriers compared to April's multi-candidate contest. Persistent dissatisfaction with both candidates, evident in polling showing 12-24% undecided or blank intentions, combined with lingering effects from first-round disruptions and fraud concerns, tilts consensus toward modest abstention. The brief three-week campaign window and polarized right-left dynamic further shape the 70-75% and 75-80% ranges as the primary outcomes in the wisdom of crowds pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPeru Election 2nd Round: Turnout?
75–80% 47%
70–75% 35%
80–85% 7.1%
<70% 2.6%
$48,503 Vol.
$48,503 Vol.
<70%
3%
70–75%
42%
75–80%
41%
80–85%
7%
>85%
2%
75–80% 47%
70–75% 35%
80–85% 7.1%
<70% 2.6%
$48,503 Vol.
$48,503 Vol.
<70%
3%
70–75%
42%
75–80%
41%
80–85%
7%
>85%
2%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested June 7 runoff between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez, following a fragmented first round with 73.81% turnout, anchors trader expectations for second-round participation near historical runoff levels. Compulsory voting with fines continues to support baseline engagement among Peru's 27.3 million eligible voters, while the simpler presidential ballot reduces logistical barriers compared to April's multi-candidate contest. Persistent dissatisfaction with both candidates, evident in polling showing 12-24% undecided or blank intentions, combined with lingering effects from first-round disruptions and fraud concerns, tilts consensus toward modest abstention. The brief three-week campaign window and polarized right-left dynamic further shape the 70-75% and 75-80% ranges as the primary outcomes in the wisdom of crowds pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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